Research and analysis

Probabilistic coastal flood forecasting: forecast demonstration and evaluation

Explores the use of probabilistic coastal flood forecasting to improve predictions of coastal flooding in the UK.

Documents

Probabilistic Coastal Flood Forecasting: Forecast Demonstration and Evaluation

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Probabilistic Coastal Flood Forecasting: Forecast Demonstration and Evaluation

This file may not be suitable for users of assistive technology. Request an accessible format.

If you use assistive technology (such as a screen reader) and need a version of this document in a more accessible format, please email enquiries@environment-agency.gov.uk. Please tell us what format you need. It will help us if you say what assistive technology you use.

Details

The project set out to develop and evaluate probabilistic methods for surge, nearshore wave and coastal flood forecasting in England and Wales. The main features that distinguish these methods from existing ones are in the use of hydraulic models extending from offshore, through the nearshore and surf zones, to action at coastal defences, using ensemble and other probabilistic approaches throughout.

Published 1 January 2009