Make sure you have the facts when you decide Scotland’s future - supporting tables (Appendix 1)
Updated 21 August 2014
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These tables accompany the reference document for ‘Make sure you have the facts when you decide Scotland’s future’.
1. Table 1, footnote 13
| Scotland | UK | |
|---|---|---|
| Total Spending (millions) | 65,205 | 701,681 |
| Total OnShore revenue (millions) | 47,566 | 580,293 |
| Total Offshore revenue (geographic share) | 5581 | 6632 |
| Spending per head | 12,270 | 11,010 |
| Onshore revenue per head | 8950 | 9110 |
| Total revenue per head | 10,000 | 9210 |
| Deficit | -2270 | -1800 |
Source for data in table: Government Expenditure and Revenue Scotland 2012-13, Scottish Government, 12 March 2014
2. Table 2, footnote 19
| 2013 annual figures | Exports to the rest of the UK | Exports to the rest of the world |
|---|---|---|
| Value (£ million) | 50,557 | 21,387 |
| % of total exports | 70 | 30 |
Source for data in table: Quarterly National Accounts Scotland, Fourth Quarter 2013, Scottish National Accounts Project, Scottish Government, 14 May 2014, Supplementary Tables, Table 9
3. Table 3, footnote 29
| GVA Growth (%) | Scotland | UK | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | Q1 | 0.1 | 0.5 |
| Q2 | -0.1 | 0.4 | |
| Q3 | 0.1 | 0.7 | |
| Q4 | 0.6 | 0 | |
| 2012 | Q1 | -0.4 | 0 |
| Q2 | -0.4 | -0.3 | |
| Q3 | 0.3 | 0.8 | |
| Q4 | 0.9 | -0.1 | |
| 2013 | Q1 | 0.2 | 0.5 |
| Q2 | 0.9 | 0.7 | |
| Q3 | 0.5 | 0.9 | |
| Q4 | 0.2 | 0.7 | |
| 2014 | Q1 | 1.0 | 0.9 |
Sources for data in table:
-
Scotland GDP statistical bulletin (2014Q1), Scottish Government, 16 July 2014
-
UK - Gross Domestic Product, Third Estimate (2014Q1), Office for National Statistics, 27 June 2014
4. Table 4, footnote 30
| Country | OECD GDP growth forecast for 2014 |
|---|---|
| UK | 3.2% |
| US | 2.6% |
| Canada | 2.5% |
| Germany | 1.9% |
| Japan | 1.2% |
| France | 0.9% |
| Italy | 0.5% |
Correct on 21 July 2014
Source for data in table: OECD Economic Outlook, analysis and forecasts, Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development, 6 May 2014
5. Table 5, footnote 31
| Country | IMF GDP growth forecast for 2014 |
|---|---|
| UK | 2.9% |
| US | 2.8% |
| Canada | 2.3% |
| Germany | 1.7% |
| Japan | 1.4% |
| France | 1.0% |
| Italy | 0.6% |
Correct on 21 July 2014
Source for data in table: World Economic Outlook, International Monetary Fund, April 2014
6. Table 6, footnote 33
| Forecasting body | Per cent of GDP | £ billions | £ per head |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scottish Government a | 3.2 | 5.5 | 1,020 |
| Institute for Fiscal Studies (IFS) b | 5.2 | 8.9 | 1,660 |
| Citigroup c | 5.5 | 9.5 | 1,760 |
| Centre for Public Policy for Regions (CPPR) d | 5.5 | 9.5 | 1,760 |
| Memo: UK deficit in 2016-17 | 2.4 | 44.5 | 680 |
Source for data in table: Scotland analysis: Fiscal policy and sustainability, HM Government, May 2014, Box IC, page 27 Sources for the estimates are:
a Most pessimistic scenario (‘Scenario 2’) in Scottish Government (2013), “Scotland’s Future: Your guide to an independent Scotland”.
b IFS (2014) “The next five years look better, but tough choices remain for Scotland”.
c Citigroup (2014) “Update on Scotland’s Fiscal Deficit”.
d CPPR (2014), “CPPR Briefing Note – Fiscal implications for an independent Scotland when assuming that it takes on a low, or zero, share of existing debt”.