Future of the subsurface
Published 25 August 2023
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1. Overview
The space below the surface provides society and the economy with a range of services, which are set to increase in variety and criticality over the coming decades considering population growth, emerging technologies, the need to decarbonise, food, water and energy security, and the impacts of climate change.
This project is looking at the range of current and future uses of the subsurface, including infrastructure, sustainable water management, geothermal energy, use of finite space, and climate adaptation.
The potential mix, interdependencies, and trade-offs over time and across the UK will be explored. The project will look to identify any gaps in knowledge, policy and/or regulatory frameworks that can be further explored to ensure the subsurface is utilised to its full potential.
2. Project outline and objectives
Initial work will include detailed stakeholder analysis and systems mapping of the physical system, external drivers, and the institutional systems at different scales. Final outputs will be developing an evidence base, methodologies, and tools to explore the future uses and long-term trends regarding the subsurface and its functions.
3. Project outputs
The project outputs will include:
- an Issues Paper summarising key issues and challenges facing subsurface planning, as well as future trends with subsurface implications that may require response or preparation, and guidance on wider use for policy makers
- 3 case studies exploring urban water management, competition for space, and geothermal
- an exploration of emerging technologies relevant to the subsurface
- a systems map visually depicting interactions in the subsurface system, including relationships between different aspects and feedback loops
- engagement and outreach across government and externally to discuss long-term planning for the subsurface and how to meet its full potential
For more information, please email foresight@go-science.gov.uk.