Research and analysis
Future of cities: framework for discussing disruptive factors
A framework for assessing the possible effects of unlikely or unforeseen factors which could disrupt urban trends over the next 50 years.
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Trends in urban development may be disrupted by processes and events that are normally considered too improbable to worry about or are entirely unforeseen.
This paper provides a framework to discuss these ‘disruptors’. It focuses on 5 types:
- social
- health
- technological
- environmental
- political
The paper was commissioned as part of the Foresight future of cities project.
Published 22 August 2016