Research and analysis

Evidence to support the analysis of impacts for artificial intelligence governance

An analysis of hypothetical AI regulatory options for the UK, to provide evidence for AI regulatory framework proposals.

From:
Department for Science, Innovation and Technology and Office for Artificial Intelligence
Published
29 March 2023

Documents

Evidence to support the analysis of impacts for artificial intelligence (AI) governance: report

PDF, 2.22 MB, 80 pages

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Evidence to support the analysis of impacts for artificial intelligence (AI) governance: annexes

PDF, 1.22 MB, 46 pages

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Details

In order to develop an artificial intelligence (AI) regulatory regime that suitably mitigates risks while capitalising on the enormous opportunities AI brings, the UK government would like to understand the potential impacts of different regulatory options.

Frontier Economics in this report undertake independent economic research to help inform the government of the benefits and costs of potential government interventions, looking at 2 scenarios:

  • regulation by a central UK AI-specific regulator
  • changes to current UK sectoral regulation to account for AI-specific risks

The analysis estimates that changes to existing sectoral regulation to account for AI-specific risks will have a smaller negative impact on AI revenue in the UK than the creation of an AI-specific regulator. Frontier Economics estimates that a central AI-specific regulator could cause the UK to lose £3 billion more in AI revenue between 2023 and 2032 compared to a scenario where there are changes to existing sectoral regulation.

The study was produced for the Department for Science, Innovation and Technology by Frontier Economics.

Published 29 March 2023