Outturn and forecast tables
Outturn and forecast: Autumn Statement 2015 tables are consistent with the Autumn Statement 2015 economic and fiscal outlook – 25 November 2015
Outturn and forecast: Summer Budget 2015 tables are consistent with the Summer Budget 2015 economic and fiscal outlook – 8 July 2015
Outturn and forecast: March Budget 2015 tables are consistent with the March Budget 2015 economic and fiscal outlook – 18 March 2015.
These tables are produced under the terms of the Memorandum of Understanding with the Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR). They reflect the government’s delivery plans, and the OBR’s additional judgments as set out in their economic and fiscal outlook.
Benefit expenditure outturn tables
These tables are consistent with the Summer Budget 2015:
- Benefit expenditure by country and region, 2000/01 to 2014/15
- Benefit expenditure by Parliamentary constituency, 2000/01 to 2014/15
- Benefit expenditure by local authority, 2000/01 to 2014/15
DLA expenditure by reported medical condition and rate paid, 2000/01 to 2014/15
ESA expenditure by reported medical condition and phase of claim, 2000/01 to 2014/15
- Housing Benefit and Council Tax Benefit expenditure by local authority, 1996/97 to 2014/15
- State Pension expenditure by country of residence, 1995/96 to 2014/15
- Gross benefit expenditure by month, 2013/14 and 2014/15
Updates have been made to the country and region expenditure tables to reflect expenditure for Industrial Injuries Disablement Benefit only as some elements of other Industrial Injuries previously included will not be devolved and are not available by country or region. The total coverage tables in the country and region, local authority and Parliamentary constituency tables have also been updated to reflect this change.
Long-term projections of pensioner benefits
These tables update projections of pensioner benefit expenditure published in July 2014. These projections include the new State Pension reforms which became law as part of the Pensions Act 2014. They are consistent with the projections published by the Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) in the 2015 fiscal sustainability report published on 11 June 2015. These projections do not, however, take account of the 2014-based population projections published by the Office for National Statistics in October 2015.
Historic expenditure figures may differ from those published in the accounts due to differing definitions and the inclusion of data that has become available since. Historic caseload data also comes from statistical reports, although may differ from published figures because these tables provide estimates for financial years, rather than point-in-time figures. Some historical information may differ from that previously published where:
- new information has become available
- methods for estimating expenditure have been improved
Forecasts use a number of techniques appropriate to the particular benefits, taking into account demographic, economic, social and policy factors.