Research and analysis

Assessing the predictive validity of Asset using the Juvenile Cohort Study

Asset is a structured risk assessment tool for young people, used by all Youth Offending Teams in England and Wales.

Document

Detail

Asset is a structured risk assessment tool for young people, used by all Youth Offending Teams (YOTs) in England and Wales.

This research was commissioned to inform the Youth Justice Board’s (YJB) Review of Assessment and Intervention Planning (2010/2011) to evaluate if, after a decade of use, Asset still predicted proven re-offending (over a one-year period). This was based on a sample of young people from the Juvenile Cohort Study (JCS).

The work also aimed to see how the predictive validity of Asset could be improved by producing models combining Asset (static and dynamic factors), and the Offender Group Reconviction Scale 3 (OGRS 3, a static tool based on a small number of offender characteristics and offence-related information).

The research found Asset to be a good predictor of proven re-offending within a one-year period.