Research and analysis

Analysis on the impact of absconding incident history as a predictor of future absconding

Summary of findings on the relationship between prisoners’ previous absconding incident history and absconding incidents committed during a 2 year period.

From:
Ministry of Justice
Published
27 November 2014

Applies to England and Wales

Documents

Analysis on the impact of absconding incident history as a predictor of future absconding incidents

Ref: ISBN 978 1 84099 671 5

PDF, 126 KB, 8 pages

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Details

An analysis which assesses the impact of previous absconding incidents (including all absconds, temporary release failures, escapes and attempted escapes) on predicting the likelihood of future absconding incidents for 23,701 prisoners during the 2 years up to 30 May 2014.

To make this assessment, adjustments were made to take account of offender, offence and prison level characteristics including gender, age, ethnicity, the qualifying offence, criminal history and type of prison.

Published 27 November 2014