Consultation outcome

Changes to prison population projections

This consultation has concluded

Download the full outcome

Detail of outcome

Following consultation, the following changes will be made to future prison population projections:

  • the higher and lower scenarios will be replaced with an improved alternative method to communicate uncertainty
  • the length of the forecast period will be changed
  • the annual publication will be released in August rather than November from 2016 onwards
  • additional breakdowns of the population will be provided, including projections of the over 50 and over 60 year old populations

We will also include references to the trends taken into account in the projections.

This document provides feedback on the comments received, and clarifies the changes to future publications that are planned in response to those comments.

Original consultation


Seeks views on a number of proposed changes to the prison population projections.

This consultation ran from

Consultation description

A number of proposed changes to the prison population projections publication are put forward in this consultation. Users’ views are invited on these changes and suggestions will be considered before any changes are confirmed.


Published 30 July 2015
Last updated 29 October 2015 + show all updates
  1. Updated to include consultation response.
  2. First published.