The future of Ethiopia: developmental state or political marketplace?

The author finds commentary on Ethiopia’s current predicament to be polarised, generalised or not sufficiently attuned to the country’s history

Abstract

The author finds much of the commentary on Ethiopia’s current predicament to be polarised, generalised or not sufficiently attuned to the specifics of the country’s recent history. In his case, one prism through which he interprets Ethiopian developments is the analysis derived from numerous discussions that he had with Meles Zenawi between 1988 and 2012. He initially developed the framework of the ‘political marketplace’ as a critique of Meles’s theory of the ‘democratic developmental state’. In particular, he saw monetised or marketised politics as a threat to the state-led developmental order that Meles envisioned: He argued that as well as the two scenarios he envisaged, namely economic transformation versus a relapse into poverty and chaos, there was a third: a political marketplace. The rationale for this paper is that these two frameworks, the developmental state and the political marketplace, offer analytical insights that are important for understanding Ethiopia today.

This work is part of the Conflict Research Programme managed by the London School of Economics and Political Science (LSE) and funded by the UK Department for International Development.

Citation

De Waal, Alex (2018) The future of Ethiopia: developmental state or political marketplace? World Peace Foundation and the Conflict Research Programme, London School of Economics and Political Science, London, UK.

The future of Ethiopia: developmental state or political marketplace? (PDF, 567KB)

Published 20 August 2018