Streamflow response to climate change in the Greater Horn of Africa.
Future streamflow changes are estimated using a distributed hydrological model forced with an ensemble of high-resolution climate simulations
Abstract
The Greater Horn of Africa region increasingly experiences high risk of water scarcity. A combination of frequent droughts, rapid population growth and rising urbanisation has reduced streamflow and intensified water abstraction, causing water and food shortages. Estimates of future streamflow changes in the region have so far been highly uncertain and evaluations using ground-based measurements are still limited. In this study, future streamflow changes are estimated using a distributed hydrological model forced with an ensemble of high-resolution climate simulations produced using the European community Earth-System Model v3.1.
This work is part of the REACH ‘Improving Water Security for the Poor’ programme
Citation
Hirpa, F. A., Alfieri, L., Lees, T., Peng, J., Dyer, E., & Dadson, S. J. (2019). Streamflow response to climate change in the Greater Horn of Africa. Climatic Change, 156(3), 341–363. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-019-02547-x
Link
Streamflow response to climate change in the Greater Horn of Africa