What recent literature (reports, assessments, and analysis published within the last two years) exists which assesses and analyses instability and intrastate conflict in Zimbabwe?
There is consensus in the recent (2011-13) literature on Zimbabwe that
although the country has stabilised considerably since the last
elections in 2008, the risk of internal conflict during the period
surrounding the 2013 elections is high. The principal factors
underpinning the potential for conflict are:
- The bitter divisions among the main political parties, the apparent
desire to seek power at any cost, and the established practice of
using violence as a political tactic.
- The aftermath of the ‘Fast Track’ land reform initiative, which has
left controversies over allocation of land.
- Unresolved issues about justice for abuses carried out in the
elections of 2008.
- The diamond trade and the triangular relationship between control of
diamonds, the security forces, and the Zanu-PF.
- The destabilising influence of the arms trade and particularly China’s
role in supporting the current regime.
Experts contacted in the course of preparing this report commented that
there has been little research published recently on Zimbabwe. The most
recent commentary on the 2013 elections has not yet appeared in
peer-reviewed journals or other research publications and is not
included in this report.
Lucas, B. Recent literature on instability and intrastate conflict in Zimbabwe (GSDRC Helpdesk Research Report no. 982). Governance and Social Development Resource Centre, University of Birmingham, Birmingham, UK (2013) 11 pp.