Public payroll expansion in Iraq: causes and consequences

This paper is based on an analysis of publicly available reports and unpublished government documents and interviews with officials

Abstract

The public payroll in Iraq has grown unchecked since 2003, commensurate with the country’s vastly expanding oil wealth. With few alternative sources of government income, the state budget’s growth poses worrying questions about whether this ongoing trend can be sustained without risking economic ruin. Based on an analysis of publicly available reports and unpublished government documents, and informed by interviews with officials in Baghdad, this paper quantifies the extent of the expansion in spending on public sector salaries and sheds light on aspects of the state’s budgetary allocations that lack a significant degree of transparency. Notably, the paper focuses on spending trends within key ministries and the state-owned enterprises and offers recommendations on how spending could be curtailed through greater accountability and long-term investment in reform measures that could lead to a more robust approach to managing the country’s economy.

This work is part of the Conflict Research Programme managed by the London School of Economics and Political Science (LSE) and funded by the UK Department for International Development

Citation

Al-Mawlawi, Ali (2019) Public payroll expansion in Iraq: causes and consequences. LSE Middle East Centre Report (October 2019). LSE Middle East Centre, London, UK.

Public payroll expansion in Iraq: causes and consequences

Published 21 November 2019