This is one part of a two-part preliminary study. It is designed to
excavate, through interviews with development field staff, perspectives
and story lines on how international actors (especially development
actors) can influence the degree of inclusiveness of political
settlements. This is an interim step to a longer-term, more
comprehensive study to assess the causal relationship between donor
programming and political settlements. The purpose of this initial study
is to narrow the field of inquiry by providing 'theories of change'
that can then be tested. It comprises case studies on Burma, Lebanon,
Nepal, Kenya, Somalia and Rwanda.
An accompanying study, more conceptually oriented, focuses on political
settlements that follow violence or episodes or imminent threatened
violence, to provide an exegesis of the argument that 'inclusive
enough' settlements matter to stability and thus development in fragile
states. That study is designed to help establish a research agenda that
could test and refine that proposition.
Elgin-Cossart, M.; Jones, B.; Esberg, J. Pathways to Change. Baseline Study to Identify Theories of Change on Political Settlements and Confidence Building. Center on International Cooperation, New York University (CIC), New York, USA (2012) 238 pp.
Pathways to Change. Baseline Study to Identify Theories of Change on Political Settlements and Confidence Building.