This policy brief provides an analysis of the risks that South Sudan faces given the current convergent economic, security and political crises on the eve of the overdue establishment of the Transitional Government of National Unity (TGoNU).
The briefing provides tools for analysis rather than recommendations for action. The dominant political discourse on South Sudan is framed in ethnic terms: this briefing seeks to provide alternative concepts and language. It points to the need to stabilize South Sudan’s political marketplace before there can be any prospect of sustainable peace, let alone a transition to an institutionalized political order. Policymakers need to attend particularly to the options for modest increases in political funding (notably through the renegotiation of the transitional financial arrangements and oil pipeline fees with Khartoum) and measures to reduce political uncertainty.
de Waal, A. JSRP Policy Brief 2. A Political Marketplace Analysis of South Sudan&#8217;s &#8216;Peace&#8217;. Justice and Security Research Programme, London School of Economics and Political Science (LSE), London, UK (2016) 6 pp.