This report was prepared for the UK Department for International Development (DFID). It assesses the impact increased temperatures will have on labour productivity in select DFID priority countries, and maps out the adaptation options that could mitigate these impacts.
The labour productivity impacts of climate change could be substantial, even when ignoring the risk of extreme climate outcomes. Through a model of 5 case study countries, the analysis finds that even under a central climate change scenario – where temperature increases are not expected to be drastically higher than today – by 2050 up to 20 per cent of effective working hours could be lost due to decreased labour productivity, with a substantial negative impact on economic output.
The underlying spreadsheet model is available on request from Vivid Economics (firstname.lastname@example.org)
This research was funded under DFID’s Policy Research Fund
Vivid Economics (2017) Impacts of higher temperatures on labour productivity and value for money adaptation: lessons from five DFID priority country case studies. London: Vivid Economics