The DFID Crop Protection Programme (CPP) supported a project entitled “Forecasting movements and breeding of the Red-billed Quelea bird in southern Africa and improved control strategies” The project was intended to provide four main outputs:
- A desk-based assessment of the environmental impacts of quelea control operations.
- A preliminary analysis of the potential for developing a statistical medium term quelea seasonal forecasting model based on sea surface temperature (SST) data and atmospheric indicators.
- Increased knowledge of the key relationships between environmental factors and quelea migrations and breeding activities..
- A computer-based model for forecasting the timing and geographical distribution of quelea breeding activity in southern Africa.
The presentation discussed how involvement with the Information Core for Southern African Migrant Pests (ICOSAMP) project would assist in achieving these objectives, with particular reference to forecasts of breeding by the Red-billed Quelea Quelea quelea lathamii. For each objective, details of achievements to date, needs and future plans were discussed.
Cheke, R.A. DFID CPP Project on forecasting Quelea breeding in southern Africa. In: Proceedings of the ICOSAMP Workshop, 2-4 May 2001.. (2001)