This is one of 280 summaries describing key outputs from the projects
run by DFID's 10-year Renewable Natural Resources Research Strategy
Summary for Project title: R7779: Forecasting outbreaks of the brown
locust in southern Africa.
Forecasters in southern Africa can now predict swarms of locusts
cost-effectively and accurately. Plagues of the Brown Locust are
extremely destructive in Botswana, Namibia and South Africa. They happen
in at least seven out of ten years, often coinciding with droughts—a
double whammy for poor farmers. Previously, warnings based on field
surveys often came too late for farmers to take action. Forecasters in
South Africa successfully used a new computer model—based on rainfall,
vegetation, historical and satellite data—to show where locusts were
likely to hatch out. They then warned farmers to prepare for outbreaks.
Now, the governments of South Africa, Namibia and Botswana intend to use
this system to strengthen control of locust and other migrating pests.
The CD has the following information for this output: Description,
Validation, Current Situation, Environmental Impact. Attached PDF (10
pp.) taken from the CD.
CPP70, New technologies, new processes, new policies: tried-and-tested and ready-to-use results from DFID-funded research, Research Into Use Programme, Aylesford, Kent, UK, ISBN 978-0-9552595-6-2, p 50.