What extent does growth in agricultural profits lead to an increase in the supply of credit in industry and services
The authors study the allocation of capital across sectors. In particular, they assess to what extent growth in agricultural profits can lead to an increase in the supply of credit in industry and services.
For this purpose, the authors identify an exogenous increase in agricultural profits due to the adoption of genetically engineered soy in Brazil. The new agricultural technology had heterogeneous effects in areas with different soil and weather characteristics. The authors find that regions with larger increases in agricultural profitability experienced increases in local bank deposits. However, there was no increase in local bank lending. Instead, capital was reallocated towards other regions through bank branch networks.
Regions with more bank branches receiving funds from soy areas experienced both an increase in credit supply and faster growth of small and medium sized firms.
This research was funded under the Private Enterprise Development in the Low-Income Countries (PEDL) Programme
Bustos, P., Garber, G., Ponticelli, J. Capital Allocation Across Sectors: Evidence from a Boom in Agriculture. (2016) 39p