The Panel of Technical Experts (PTE) is an advisory group of independent consultants who were appointed by Government to perform a specific and technical function as part of the first Electricity Market Reform delivery plan process.
Role of the panel
The Panel of Technical Experts (PTE) is an independent advisory group who are appointed by Government to advise on technical aspects of Electricity Market Reform. The role of the panel is a technical function and not a forum for policy commentary or for advising the Government on its objectives for the Capacity market or wider policy issues. They have a particular focus on providing scrutiny of the analysis in National Grid’s annual Electricity Capacity Report (ECR), which provides a recommendation on the target capacity for Capacity Market auctions. A report with their findings is published annually following the publication of the ECR and the Secretary of State’s decision on the target capacity.
The Panel’s Terms of Reference
Members of the panel & biographies
To carry out this technical function members bring with them diverse experiences of the electricity markets in Great Britain and Ireland, as well as knowledge of a wide range of generation technologies. In their roles with the PTE they provide independent advice to Government, and do not represent their organisations.
- Professor Michael Grubb (University College London, Chair)
- Andris Bankovskis (4D Energy)
- Dr Guy Doyle (Mott MacDonald)
- Professor Goran Strbac (Imperial College London)
- Professor Derek Bunn (London Business School)
Professor Michael Grubb
Professor of International Energy and Climate Change Policy at UCL - Institute for Sustainable Resources. Michael has also been Editor-in-Chief of Climate Policy and a Senior Advisor on Improving Regulation at Ofgem. Michael also served on the UK Climate Change Committee, established by the UK Climate Change Act to advise the government on future carbon budgets and to report to Parliament on their implementation. Beyond energy and climate change he has sat on the Scientific Advisory Boards of the German Institute for Economic Research (DIW Berlin), and the European Parliament’s Progressive Economy Initiative. Michael is author of eight books, fifty journal research articles, and numerous other publications and presentations. He has held many advisory positions with governments, companies and international studies on climate change and energy policy, and was the Lead Author for several reports of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change.
Andris has 26 years’ experience in electricity generation, supply and regulation. He has held roles in large power companies in reactor physics, generation plant performance, procuring uranium, managing private sector nuclear liabilities, developing new arrangements for the trading of electricity in Scotland, M&A due diligence, analysing fuel mix options for Ireland and trading renewable energy. Andris holds degrees in physics and law as well as an MBA.
Dr Guy Doyle
Dr Doyle is Chief Economist of Energy and Carbon at Mott MacDonald and has 32 years’ experience of forecasting and analysing world energy markets. Guy has led Mott’s work on generation costing and long term power sector trends for DECC and the Committee on Climate Change, after undertaking similar work in other jurisdictions. His positions prior to joining Mott Macdonald included running Power Ink, an electricity consultancy firm. He was also founder and editor of Power UK, Consultancy director at McCloskey Coal, Chief Economist of IEA Coal Research, and energy forecasting manager at Global Insight. Guy holds a Phd in Energy Economics and a Masters in Natural Resource Economics.
Professor Goran Strbac
Professor Goran Strbac is a Professor of Electrical Energy Systems at Imperial College London, and has 30 years’ experience in analysis of operation, planning, investment and economics of the electricity systems. He leads Imperial’s work for the UK Electricity Industry, Government and EU Commission on system integration of low carbon generation and demand technologies. He is a member of the Steering Committee of the SmartGrids European Technology Platform, Chair of the EU Stakeholder Platform on Smart Cities Energy Supply & Networks, Director of the UK Centre for Grid Scale Energy Storage, Member of IET Power Networks Joint Expert Group.
Professor Derek Bunn
Derek W. Bunn is Professor of Decision Sciences at London Business School, where he has led an energy research programme since 1986. Author of over 200 research papers and 10 books in the areas of forecasting, econometrics, decision analysis and energy economics, he has been Editor of the Journal of Forecasting since 1984, a previous Editor of Energy Economics, and Founding Editor of the Journal of Energy Markets. He has advised numerous international companies and government agencies in the energy sector as well as providing expert evidence in arbitration and litigation. He is currently a panel member of the Balancing and Settlement Code.
Areas of scrutiny
The PTE look at all aspects of the analysis relating to setting the parameters for the Capacity Market. The forward plan below indicates when the PTE will be looking at the relevant technical issues:
- Offshore wind power modelling
- Updates to weather data tool
- Forecasting of electricity demand
- Figures for the relative reliability of different electricity plants (de-rating factors)
- Modelled probabilities of different energy scenarios
- Modelling of European energy markets and interconnectors
- National Grid’s Future Energy Scenarios (FES) demand & generation overview
- Assumptions about plants being unavailable
- The robustness of the ECR to changing energy scenarios
- The content and structure of the ECR
- National Grid’s overall analytical project plan
- De-rating factors: updates for electricity plants on the transmission electricity network and new factors for plants on the distributed electricity network
- Final approach to probabilities for the ECR
- Least Worst Regrets (LWR) modelling methodology
We are committed to making the parameter-setting of the Capacity Market as open and transparent as possible. If you have any evidence relevant to the PTE’s work please send it to firstname.lastname@example.org. Submissions will be considered by BEIS and where appropriate will be fed into the parameter-setting process.
Members’ registers of interests