Research and analysis

Safety of macrolide antibiotics in pregnancy: a review of the epidemiological evidence

Published 28 June 2021

1. Plain language summary

Key message

The Commission on Human Medicines (CHM) has reviewed the available safety data for the use of the macrolide antibiotics erythromycin, clarithromycin and azithromycin during pregnancy.

The available evidence is insufficient to confirm with certainty whether there is a small increased risk of malformations (birth defects) or miscarriage when macrolides are taken in early pregnancy.

There remains a need for high-quality research into the effect of erythromycin, clarithromycin or azithromycin in pregnancy. Further data are needed to draw firm conclusions.

Certain infections in pregnancy can cause serious harm to both to the mother and baby if not treated. In such cases, pregnant women should receive treatment with an appropriate antibiotic. Decisions by the prescriber of which antibiotic to use should be based on the benefits and risk to mother and baby. If a prescriber views that the potential benefits of treatment will outweigh the risks and that no suitable and safe alternative is available, for example in true penicillin allergy, a macrolide can be used during pregnancy.

Introduction

The Medicines and Healthcare products Regulatory Agency (MHRA) is the government agency responsible for regulating medicines and medical devices in the UK and ensuring their safety, quality and effectiveness. We continually review the safety of all medicines in the UK and inform healthcare professionals and the public of the latest updates.

The CHM advises government ministers and the MHRA on the safety, efficacy and quality of medicines. The MHRA safety public assessment reports aim to discuss evidence-based reviews of safety issues linked with a particular medicine or group of medicines.

This report presents our review of the safety of macrolide antibiotics erythromycin, clarithromycin and azithromycin during early pregnancy. The review evaluated the quality of the safety evidence in relation to three outcomes: major malformations of the baby in the womb, heart or blood vessel malformations, and miscarriage.

About macrolides

The macrolide drug group are antibiotics used to treat acute and chronic infections. These medicines are effective treatments for a range of infections similar to penicillin, another antibiotic, and so macrolides are often used in patients allergic to penicillin.

The three main macrolide antibiotics used in the UK are azithromycin, clarithromycin and erythromycin:

  • Azithromycin is used in infections of the respiratory tract, ear, skin and soft tissue infections, infections of the urethra and sexually transmitted infections including chlamydia and gonorrhoea.
  • Clarithromycin is used to treat infections of the respiratory tract, ear, skin and soft tissue infections and also treating stomach ulcers caused by the bacteria Helicobacter pylori
  • Erythromycin is used in infections of the respiratory tract, ear, eyes or mouth, skin and soft tissue infections, infections of the stomach and intestines, infections of the urethra and sexually transmitted infections including syphilis, chlamydia and gonorrhoea.

A previous review of the respective Summaries of Product Characteristics (SmPCs) for macrolides marketed in the UK indicated varying levels of information and advice regarding use in pregnancy. There is therefore inconsistent and conflicting information in the various SmPCs regarding the safety and risk-benefit balance of macrolides in pregnancy.

Reason for the review

This review was initiated following the publication of a large cohort study in the UK (Fan and others, 2020), which reported a small increased risk of the baby being born with major malformation associated with use of macrolide antibiotics during pregnancy. Specifically, the study reported increased risks of malformations relating to the heart or blood vessels in babies born to mothers who were prescribed macrolide antibiotics in the first trimester of pregnancy.

The CHM recommended that the MHRA should undertake a review on whether the available data raise any new safety concerns or change current understanding about the safety of macrolide antibiotics during pregnancy.

Conclusions of the review

A range of studies were evaluated in this systematic review of the evidence. The overall quality of observational data on the safety of erythromycin, clarithromycin and azithromycin by mothers was low. Most studies included in the review were judged to have a serious risk of bias, according to a bias evaluating tool (ROBINS-I). There is also a lack of a known biological mechanism for malformations in the womb associated with macrolide antibiotics.

The overarching findings of the review are that the available evidence is insufficient to confirm with certainty the presence or absence of a small increased risk of malformations or miscarriage when macrolides are taken in early pregnancy.

The data were insufficient to confirm:

  • small increased risk of major congenital malformations or cardiac malformations following exposure to erythromycin
  • increased risk of miscarriage following exposure to clarithromycin or azithromycin

The data were also insufficient to establish:

  • the absence of small increased risk of major congenital malformations or cardiovascular malformations following azithromycin or clarithromycin exposure
  • the absence of small increased risks of miscarriage following exposure to erythromycin

There remains a need for high-quality research into the effect of erythromycin, clarithromycin or azithromycin prescription in pregnancy.

2. Introduction

The Medicines and Healthcare products Regulatory Agency (MHRA) is the government agency responsible for regulating medicines and medical devices in the UK. We continually review the safety of all medicines in the UK and inform healthcare professionals and the public of the latest updates. The aim of MHRA safety public assessment reports is to discuss evidence-based assessments of safety issues associated with a particular medicine or group of medicines.

A glossary is provided for an explanation of the terms used in this report.

The following report discusses our review of the relating to the safety of medicines containing macrolide antibiotics during pregnancy.

The information and analyses contained in this report reflect evidence that was available at the time of the review in 2020. They are not intended to provide clinical advice. The MHRA will continue to monitor the safety of all medicines. The information in this report will not be actively updated with new data or studies unless major new safety information is available that results in critical changes.

Reason for this review

In 2020, a large UK cohort study reported a significant association between maternal use of macrolide antibiotics in early pregnancy and major congenital malformations, specifically cardiovascular malformations (Fan and others, 2020).

Following publication of this study, the Commission on Human Medicines (CHM) recommended that the MHRA review all available epidemiological evidence to understand reasons why the findings conflicted with that of other studies and to determine whether an updated meta-analysis of evidence may be a feasible option.

Macrolide antibiotics

The 3 main macrolide antibiotics authorised and used in the UK are azithromycin, clarithromycin and erythromycin.

These macrolides have a similar antibacterial spectrum to penicillin and are frequently used as an alternative to penicillin, for example in patients allergic to penicillin:

  • Azithromycin is indicated for respiratory tract infections (RTIs), otitis media, skin and soft tissue infections, chlamydia, gonorrhoea and urethritis
  • Clarithromycin is indicated for RTIs, otitis media, skin and soft tissue infections and Helicobacter pylori eradication
  • Erythromycin is indicated for RTIs, ear, eye and oral infections, skin and soft tissue infections, gastrointestinal infections and various other infections such as chlamydia, gonorrhoea and urethritis

Clinical guidelines on use of macrolides in pregnancy

The NHS website states that erythromycin is the only macrolide which can be taken during pregnancy.

National Institute for Health and Care Excellence (NICE) antimicrobial prescribing guidelines for managing common infections includes macrolides within their recommended antibiotic choices. Examples include, treatment of acute sore throat, acute sinusitis, acute otitis media, community-acquired pneumonia, cellulitis, erysipelas, diabetic foot infection and leg ulcer infection. Erythromycin is recommended as the preferred choice for pregnant women where a macrolide is deemed suitable, if, for example, true penicillin allergy is present.

NICE guidelines for use of these medicines in pregnancy are informed by recommendations from the UK Teratology Information Service (UKTIS). The UKTIS monograph on the use of macrolides in pregnancy was updated in April 2020 to reflect the findings of Fan and others (2020) and to highlight that macrolides, should only be used in pregnancy when clinically necessary and if the benefit of treatment is expected to outweigh any small increased risks which may exist.

Pregnancy warnings in macrolide product information

A previous review of the respective Summaries of Product Characteristics (SmPCs) for macrolides marketed in the UK indicated varying levels of information and advice regarding use in pregnancy.

All the azithromycin and clarithromycin SmPCs include a risk-benefit statement regarding use during pregnancy, stating that the prescriber should consider whether the benefits to use outweigh the risks and there is a clinical need. However, information on use in pregnancy appears to be more variable in the SmPCs for erythromycin products, with some stating that there is ‘no evidence of hazard from erythromycin in human pregnancy’ and some mentioning the increased risk of cardiovascular malformations, which is likely to have been prompted by findings of Källén and others (2005, 2014)

There is therefore inconsistent and conflicting information in the various SmPCs regarding the safety and risk-benefit balance of macrolides in pregnancy.

3. Epidemiological studies on macrolide safety in pregnancy

Recent studies presenting conflicting findings on macrolide safety in pregnancy

Findings by Fan and others: a population-based cohort study

In February 2020, a large cohort study conducted in the UK Clinical Practice Research Datalink (CPRD) and published in the BMJ (Fan and others, 2020) reported an increased risk of major congenital malformations in infants whose mothers received a prescription for a macrolide antibiotic during early pregnancy compared to those who received a prescription for penicillin (adjusted risk ratio (aRR) 1.55, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.19 to 2.03).

Increased risks were also reported for cardiovascular defects with macrolide prescribing in the first trimester (aRR 1.62, 1.05 to 2.51), and for major congenital malformations with erythromycin prescribing in the first trimester (aRR 1.50, 1.13 to 1.99).

This contrasted with several studies performed in other countries that did not find a statistically significant increased risk of these outcomes with macrolides as a class or for erythromycin specifically (Damkier and others, 2019; Muanda and others, 2017b; Lin and others, 2013; Bahat Dinur and others, 2013; Romoren and others, 2012; Bar-Oz and others, 2012; Crider and others, 2009; Cooper and others, 2009; Bar Oz and others, 2008, and Czeizel and others, 1999).

The study by Fan included a retrospective cohort of women who received one prescription for either a macrolide or a penicillin antibiotic during pregnancy in routine clinical practice between 1990 and 2016.

Fan’s cohort study recorded a range of adverse outcomes in the children such as major malformations, cerebral palsy, epilepsy, attention deficit hyperactivity disorder (ADHD), and autism spectrum disorder. The selection of outcomes of interest was based on the authors’ theory that the proarrhythmic effects of macrolides induce fetal hypoxia, which may in turn lead to these events.

Findings by Damkier and others: a population-based study (2019)

When considering the findings of the Fan study (2020), the findings of another recently published cohort study were noted (Damkier and others, 2019).

In contrast to the UK study, this large Danish cohort study investigated associations between in-utero exposure to various antibiotics and the risk of congenital malformations.

Damkier did not report increased risks for major congenital malformations or cardiovascular malformations in infants exposed to erythromycin or azithromycin in the first trimester when compared to infants exposed to penicillin (adjusted odds ratio (aOR) for major congenital malformations 0.94, 95% CI 0.80 to 1.11 (erythromycin) and 1.09, 0.93 to 1.27 (azithromycin); aOR for cardiovascular malformations: 0.94, 0.69 to 1.28; and 1.14, 0.86 to 1.51, respectively).

Further analysis of study findings

The MHRA conducted further analysis of these studies to try and understand the reasons for the different findings (see table at Annex 1).

In summary, both studies presented an appropriate approach to a collection of population-based data from national databases and their analysis. However, with the difference in the selection of outcomes and grouping of exposures (as in Fan and others, 2020), and potentially due to fundamental differences in the distribution of exposures between the 2 populations (as discussed below), the comparison of findings of the 2 studies is difficult. Neither study presented rates of outcomes of interest in the general population, which would provide a context and a reference.

Both studies were considered to have used an appropriate statistical method. The analytical approach taken by Fan is appropriate, and Cox regression is generally the stronger modelling approach, since it utilises more information, while logistic regression (used in Damkier’s study) estimates are prone to bias and reduced precision with increasing follow-up time.

The use of propensity scores (used by Fan’s study) to match exposed and unexposed individuals can help to control heterogeneity of characteristics between patients, but the effect of variables on the outcome of interest that were matched on cannot be estimated.

Propensity score matching was used by Fan to adjust for covariates by applying weighting of the sample of units in each treatment group to match covariate distribution of a target population. The propensity scores derived from the macrolide-exposed group were used to weight children from the penicillin-exposed group.

Although this non-parametric balancing strategy is a recognised approach, application of this method commonly excludes unmatched units or units with extremely large weights. The remaining sample may only represent a subpopulation of the original targeted population, which can vary from study to study. This is referred to as ‘trimming’.

Fan’s study does not report on the number of observations that were trimmed during the matching and discrepancies between treatment groups were not discussed. However, given the large sample size, it might be assumed that this might not have had a significant effect on the estimates.

Fan’s study evaluated macrolides as a class and presented analyses restricted to erythromycin, whereas Damkier studied only the effects of individual macrolides azithromycin and erythromycin within their study. Damkier also only presented limited data on the prevalence of outcomes by exposures in descriptive statistics.

Logistic regression analysis (used by Damkier) is an appropriate method; the estimates from this analysis approximate those from Cox regression for rare outcomes. However, as previously highlighted the Cox model would usually be preferred.

Data on outcomes were collected by Damkier within 1 year after birth, while Fan had 14 years of follow-up, which allowed inclusion of developmental disorders that can manifest or be diagnosed in later life. Damkier considered a smaller number of potential confounders compared to the study by Fan. No adjustment for previous or chronic maternal infection status was considered by Damkier. As such, confounding by indication cannot be ruled out, although this might be expected to bias the analyses away from the null and produce increased risk estimates for the outcomes, which was not the case in Damkier’s study

The difference in proportions of penicillin prescriptions between the studies cannot be overlooked. The difference in prescribing practice regarding antibiotic choice may influence the respective findings. In Damkier’s study, 37% of all prescriptions were penicillin, while in Fan’s study prescriptions of penicillin constituted over 64% of antibiotic prescriptions in pregnant study participants requiring antibiotics.

If the choice of macrolide is associated with the severity or type of infection, then this could show systematic differences between groups of pregnant women prescribed macrolides or penicillin.

Although Fan tried to adjust their analysis for infections (for example sexually transmitted or genito-urinary), these variables might not have captured the whole variation in types of infection. Additionally, while Fan attempted to adjust for severity of infection by excluding pregnancies exposed to more than one course of macrolides, this would not fully eliminate confounding related to infection severity.

If the rationale for the choice of macrolide is non-differential across different indications, then confounding by severity or type of infection may not be present. Thus, the absence of difference in the effect of macrolides to those of penicillin could be true for the study population.

However, if penicillin is prescribed for specific types or severity of infection associated with adverse fetal outcomes and analysis failed to adjust for the effect of infection, this would increase the rate in penicillin group and bias any effect of macrolides toward the null.

Given the apparent higher use of macrolides in the Damkier study, it is not clear whether they were used predominantly in women with a reported penicillin allergy, as seems to be mainly the case in the Fan study.

Furthermore, the rate of any malformations in infants exposed to erythromycin (283 in 5563) was 50.87 per 1000 (calculated from data in supplementary tables) in the study by Damkier. This was much higher than the rate reported by Fan of 27.6 per 1000, albeit this rate was calculated using data on prescriptions in the first trimester only, which might have under-represented the rate by not capturing the whole duration of pregnancy.

However, the rates of malformation in control groups (exposed to penicillin and non-exposed) might have been relatively high to render non-significant results when compared to the rate of malformations in macrolide-exposed groups in the study by Damkier (the data were not presented to enable the calculation). This raises questions about the level of outcome misclassification.

While external estimates of the rate of congenital malformations vary, and these estimates are within the normal range, limitations to the data in both studies (which rely on the secondary use of data) may have led to different levels in the capture of relevant outcomes.

Finally, there were key differences in the classification of first trimester exposure, with Fan restricting to 4 to 13 weeks’ gestation, thereby eliminating the first few weeks of pregnancy, prior to organogenesis.

Like several other studies that did not report associations between macrolide exposure during pregnancy and fetal harm, Damkier and others classed pregnancies as exposed if a macrolide prescription was recorded between 0 and 14 weeks’ gestation, which may have resulted in a dilution of any risk. This is further discussed in the overall discussion section below.

Meta-analyses on the safety of macrolides during pregnancy

Two meta-analyses have been conducted to evaluate the body of evidence on macrolides and adverse child or pregnancy outcomes (Fan and others, 2019; Mallah and others, 2019). However, the authors considered different outcomes and applied slightly different study inclusion criteria. A comparison of the studies can be found in Annex 1.

Based on the hypothesis that short-term fetal hypoxia induced by fetal arrhythmia could possibly be the underlying mechanism of observed adverse effects of macrolides, Fan’s 2019 meta-analysis included outcomes that could potentially result from short-term fetal hypoxia.

These outcomes included fetal and neonatal death, congenital malformations, and conditions resulting from central nervous system damage such as epilepsy, cerebral palsy, ADHD and autism.

Mallah and others commented that Fan’s 2019 meta-analysis only assessed ‘general adverse child outcomes’ and only included a limited number of original studies, therefore their review included any congenital malformation as an outcome.

Both meta-analyses demonstrated a systematic approach to search, selection, evaluation and analysis of studies. The objectives of both analyses were to consolidate evidence on the effects of the use of macrolides in pregnancy on paediatric and fetal outcomes.

Although both were methodologically appropriate, each of the studies demonstrated their individual approach to the conduct of systematic review and meta-analysis. This was primarily due to subjectivity inherent in the selection of search terms, databases, selection and application of inclusions, and inclusion criteria to primary research studies.

The meta-analyses were composed of 2 separate sets of studies. There was partial overlap between the studies in the two metanalyses (6 of the 16 total studies). Despite this, there was mild agreement that there was either no association, or a very weak association between first-trimester exposures to macrolides and congenital malformations.

Fan’s 2019 meta-analysis reported a pooled OR for major malformations of 1.13 (95% CI 0.99 to 1.29) compared to alternative antibiotics, based on 3 studies: Einarson and others, 1998; Romoren and others, 2012; and Muanda and others 2017b (pooled OR 1.03, 95% CI 0.86 to 1.22 based on 4 studies for all malformations).

Mallah and others reported an OR for all malformations of 1.06 (1.00 to 1.12) compared to the group exposed to non-macrolide anti-bacterials and other non-teratogenic drugs, based on 9 unspecified studies.

Use of mixed study designs (randomised control studies and observational studies) might not be appropriate but they were handled separately in the review by Fan and others. In contrast, Mallah and others only included observational studies.

Outcomes used by Fan were more inclusive and included central nervous system damage and miscarriage, while Mallah only considered outcomes in live births by different anatomic locations.

Ultimately, given the heterogeneity of conduct and findings of the 2 meta-analyses it is difficult to compare the findings presented in the 2 publications.

A systematic appraisal of their corresponding primary research studies was considered be a more appropriate approach for consolidation of available evidence on macrolide safety in pregnancy.

In order to facilitate this approach, a previously developed tool for assessing the quality of evidence was used, the ROBINS-I tool.

4. Systematic review of the evidence on the safety of macrolide use in early pregnancy

The objective of this systematic review by the MHRA was to evaluate the available epidemiological evidence on the effects of exposure to macrolides in early pregnancy.

The quality of studies was assessed using the ROBINS-I tool for non-randomised studies of interventions. The review was conducted to ascertain the effects of individual macrolides (erythromycin, azithromycin, and clarithromycin) on miscarriage, major congenital malformations, and cardiovascular malformations.

Full details of the systematic quality review are available upon request.

Materials and methods

Studies previously included in 2 meta-analyses on the effects of macrolide antibiotics (Mallah and others, 2020; Fan and others, 2019), along with the 2 most recent primary research publications (Damkier and others, 2019; Fan and others, 2020) were included. This resulted in a total of 38 studies for initial review to determine whether they qualified according to the agreed criteria in terms of the review questions.

This review evaluated the evidence under 3 separate objectives for each of the 3 reviewed macrolide antibiotics, developed using the Population Intervention Control Outcome criteria (PICO) (Higgins and others, 2019).

Studies with penicillin as a comparator were initially prioritised over the studies with comparator groups unexposed to antibiotics. This decision was made with the objective to review research with a reduced presence of confounding by indication.

The presence of this type of confounding can compromise the quality of observational studies on the effects of medication. However, on closer review of the studies, only a small number used penicillin as a comparator group (Fan, 2020; Damkier, 2019; Muanda, 2017a; Muanda, 2017b). Therefore, studies with unexposed pregnancies were also included in the review.

The objectives were to:

  • evaluate the effect of erythromycin, azithromycin and clarithromycin use in the first trimester of pregnancy on the risk of major congenital malformations compared to penicillin exposure or pregnancies not exposed to antibiotics
  • evaluate the effect of erythromycin, azithromycin and clarithromycin use in the first trimester of pregnancy on the risk of congenital cardiovascular malformations compared to penicillin exposure or pregnancies not exposed to antibiotics
  • evaluate the effect of erythromycin, azithromycin and clarithromycin use in the first trimester of pregnancy on the risk of miscarriage compared to penicillin exposure or pregnancies not exposed to antibiotics

The studies that addressed these objectives qualified for further review and assessment of the risk of bias using the ROBINS-I tool for non-randomised studies of interventions (Sterne and others, 2016).

Data on study design, study period, location, participants characteristics (age, health, pregnancy characteristics, and so on), and intervention characteristics (erythromycin, penicillin or control) were extracted and recorded on a pre-defined form.

The quality of the studies was independently evaluated by 2 MHRA reviewers using the ROBINS-I tool (Sterne and others, 2016). The ROBINS-I approach is based on the evaluation of bias in relation to a target trial, which is designed to allow an unbiased unconfounded study of the association without concern over feasibility or ethical considerations.

Each study was assessed across 7 bias domains from the ROBINS-I tool, adapted below from Sterne and others (2016).

Pre-intervention bias domains:

Domain 1 (D1) considers bias arising from confounding, including selection bias, allocation bias and channeling bias. This is explained as ‘baseline confounding occurs when one or more prognostic variables (factors that predict the outcome of interest) also predicts the intervention received at baseline. ROBINS-I can also address time-varying confounding, which occurs when individuals switch between the interventions being compared and when post-baseline prognostic factors affect the intervention received after baseline.’

Domain 2 (D2) considers bias arising from participant selection, including selection bias, inception bias and immortal time bias. This is explained as ‘when exclusion of some eligible participants, or the initial follow up time of some participants, or some outcome events, is related to both intervention and outcome, there will be an association between interventions and outcome even if the effects of the interventions are identical. This form of selection bias is distinct from confounding.

At intervention bias domains:

Domain 3 (D3) considers bias arising from intervention classification, including misclassification bias, information bias, recall bias and observer bias. This is explained as bias ‘introduced by either differential or non-differential misclassification of intervention status. Non-differential misclassification is unrelated to the outcome and will usually bias the estimated effect of intervention towards the null. Differential misclassification occurs when misclassification of intervention status is related to the outcome or the risk of the outcome and is likely to lead to bias.’

Post-Intervention Bias Domains:

Domain 4 (D4) considers bias arising from deviation from intended interventions, including time-varying confounding. This bias is explained as arising ‘when there are systematic differences between experimental intervention and comparator groups in the care provided, which represent a deviation from the intended intervention(s). Depends on the type of effect of interest (assignment to intervention or adherence to intervention.’

Domain 5 (D5) considers bias arising from missing data, including attrition bias and selection bias. This is explained as bias arising ‘when later follow-up is missing for individuals initially included and followed (for example differential loss to follow-up that is affected by prognostic factors); bias due to exclusion of individuals with missing information about intervention status or other variables such as confounders.’

Domain 6 (D6) considers bias arising from measurement of outcomes, including recall bias, information bias, misclassification bias, observer bias, and measurement bias. This bias is explained as ‘introduced by either differential or non-differential errors in measurement of outcome data. Such bias can arise when outcome assessors are aware of intervention status, if different methods are used to assess outcomes in different intervention groups, or if measurement errors are related to intervention status or effects.’

Domain 7 (D7) considers bias arising from selection of the reported result, including outcome reporting bias and analysis reporting bias. This is explained as ‘selective reporting of results in a way that depends on the findings.’

The judgement on the risk of bias was recorded as low, moderate, serious, critical or no information for each of the bias domains:

  1. Low risk of bias: the study is comparable to a well-performed randomised trial
  2. Moderate risk of bias: the study is sound for a non-randomised study but cannot be considered comparable to a well-performed randomised trial
  3. Serious risk of bias: the study has some important problems
  4. Critical risk of bias: the study is too problematic to provide any useful evidence on the effects of intervention; and
  5. No information on which to base a judgement about risk of bias for this domain.

The overall risk of bias was determined by combining the outcomes from 7 domains with priority given to the most serious risk of bias. The final decision on the risk of bias was reached through discussion between the reviewers, with discrepancies in judgement being resolved by reciprocal consultation between the reviewers.

Results

Of the 38 observational studies selected for review, 12 were considered to satisfy the criteria of the research question. See Annex 2 for a list of the 38 studies including the rationale for exclusion.

The judgments on the risk of bias are presented for each of the 7 domains and overall using a rating system of low, medium, or high. It is suggested these are considered alongside the forest plots available in the full PDF of this public assessment report.

Absolute rates were not available for most of the studies, and no information on risk in a comparator group was available for about 30% of the studies to enable the calculation (see table at Annex 3).

Erythromycin

A total of 11 studies investigated the effect of erythromycin exposure in the first trimester of over 24,000 pregnancies on 1 or more outcomes, jointly covering a period between 1980 and 2019 in 8 countries. Several studies evaluated more than 1 outcome of interest.

Major congenital malformations

Of 7 studies that investigated the effect of erythromycin on major congenital malformations:

  • 5 were judged to be at serious risk of bias (due to selection bias introduced by inclusion of live births only)
  • 2 at moderate risk of bias (Romoren 2012 and Czeizel 1999) as these studies included stillbirths and induced abortions in their analysis
  • only 1 study reported a statistically significant association (Table 1) however this study was judged to be at serious risk of bias overall (Fan and others, 2020)

While most studies are not suggestive of an increased risk of major congenital malformations with erythromycin exposure, the association or the absence of association remains uncertain and may require further investigation using a more robust study design.

Table 1. Effect estimates for studies on erythromycin and major congenital malformations (MCM). Note: number of cases from case-control study design exposed marked with * and presented, where available over the total number of exposed, while for cohort study design the number of cases is given for the exposed cohort.

Study Design Setting Comparator Erythromycin n/N Effect estimate (95%CI)
Fan 2020 cohort UK, 1990-2016 penicillin 53/7,987 1.5 (1.13-1.99)
Damkier 2019 cohort Denmark, 2000-2015 penicillin 283/5,563 0.94 (0.80-1.11)
Muanda 2017b cohort Quebec, 1998-2009 penicillin 64/697 1.02 (0.78-1.34)
Romoren 2012 cohort Norway, 2004-2007 unexposed 90/1,785 1.02 (0.77-1.35)
Cooper 2009 cohort US, Tennessee, 1995-2000 unexposed 55/2,2128 0.86 (0.62-1.18)
Kallen 2014 cohort Sweden, 1996-2011 unexposed 99/2,531 1.18 (0.96-1.44)
Czeizel 1999 case-control Hungary 1990-1996 unexposed 113* 1.1 (0.9-1.4)

Accompanying forest plots can be found in the full PDF of this public assessment report.

Table 2. Risk of bias assessment for studies on erythromycin and major congenital malformations, Bias domains adapted from Sterne and others, 2016.

Study D1 D2 D3 D4 D5 D6 D7 Overall
Fan 2020 low serious low low - moderate low serious
Damkier 2019 serious serious moderate low low moderate moderate serious
Muanda 2017b low serious moderate low low moderate low serious
Romoren 2012 moderate moderate moderate low moderate low low moderate
Cooper 2009 serious serious low low moderate moderate moderate serious
Kallen 2014 serious serious low low low moderate low serious
Czeizel 1999 moderate moderate moderate low serious low moderate serious

Key: D1 bias due to confounding; D2 bias due to selection of participants; D3 bias in classification of interventions; D4 bias due to deviations from intended interventions; D5 bias due to missing data; D6 bias in measurement of outcomes; D7 bias in selection of the reported result. ‘-‘ indicates not where bias was not assessable

Cardiovascular malformations

Of the 9 studies that investigated congenital heart defects in relation to erythromycin exposure Table 4 shows that 8 of the studies were judged to be at serious risk of bias and one at moderate risk (Romoren and others, 2012).

Of the 2 Swedish studies by Källén and others, the 2005 study reported an increased risk of cardiovascular malformations (OR 1.84, 1.29 to 2.62). In the 2014 study based on data from 2004 to 2011 (n=9), after a change in Swedish guidelines advising on using erythromycin in pregnancy, the risk of cardiovascular malformations was non-significant due to the small number of cases (n=9) (RR 1.71, 0.78 to 3.25).

The change in significance was attributed by Källén (2014) to a decline in prescription numbers. However, the risk estimate based on the period covering both studies (1996–2011) remained significant: (OR 1.70, 1.26 to 2.29).

Based on the reviewed evidence, which is generally of low quality, it is not possible to rule out a small increase in the risk of cardiovascular malformations in association with maternal use of erythromycin during the first trimester.

Table 3. Effect estimates for studies on erythromycin and cardiovascular malformations (CVM). Note: number of exposed cases from case-control study design marked with * and presented, where available over the total number of cases, while for cohort study design the number of cases is given for the exposed cohort.

Study Design Setting Comparator Erythromycin n/N Effect estimate (95%CI)
Fan 2020 cohort UK, 1990-2016 penicillin 19/1935 1.48 (0.92-2.37)
Damkier 2019 cohort Denmark, 2000-2015 penicillin 46/5563 0.94 (0.69-1.28)
Muanda 2017b cohort Quebec, 1998-2009 penicillin 15/697 1.09 (0.64-1.86)
Kallen 2005 cohort Sweden, 1996-2003 unexposed 34/1844 1.84 (1.29-2.62)
Kallen 2014 cohort Sweden, 1996-2011 unexposed 43/2531 1.7 (1.26-2.29)
Romoren 2012 cohort Norway, 2004-2007 unexposed 21/1785 1.16 (0.75-1.78)
Crider 2009 case-control US, 1997-2003 unexposed 81* 1.0 (0.7-1.3)
Lin 2013 case-control US, Canada, 1994-2008 unexposed 18/4132 1.3 (0.6-2.6)
Cooper 2009 cohort US, Tennessee, 1995-2000 unexposed 9/2128 0.93 (0.45-1.91)

Accompanying forest plots can be found in the full PDF of this public assessment report.

Table 4. Risk of bias assessment for studies on erythromycin and cardiovascular malformations. Bias domains adapted from Sterne and others, 2016.

Study D1 D2 D3 D4 D5 D6 D7 Overall
Fan 2020 low serious low low - moderate low serious
Damkier 2019 moderate serious moderate low low moderate moderate serious
Muanda 2017b low serious moderate low low moderate low serious
Kallen 2005 serious serious serious low low moderate low serious
Kallen 2014 serious serious moderate low low moderate low serious
Romoren 2012 moderate moderate moderate low moderate low low moderate
Crider 2009 moderate serious serious low moderate low moderate serious
Lin 2013 moderate serious serious low moderate low moderate serious
Cooper 2009 serious serious low low moderate moderate moderate serious

Key: D1 bias due to confounding; D2 bias due to selection of participants; D3 bias in classification of interventions; D4 bias due to deviations from intended interventions; D5 bias due to missing data; D6 bias in measurement of outcomes; D7 bias in selection of the reported result. ‘-‘ indicates not where bias was not assessable

Miscarriage

A total of 2 studies evaluated the effect of erythromycin prescription on miscarriage (Muanda and others, 2017a; Andersen and others, 2013). Neither study reported an association (table 5). Muanda’s study was judged to be at moderate risk of bias and Andersen’s at serious risk of bias.

There was an agreement of no association between erythromycin and the risk of miscarriage in 2 studies available for review. However, it was not possible to conclude an absence of risk due to the small number of publications and their poor quality.

Table 5. Effect estimates for studies on erythromycin and miscarriage. Note: number of exposed cases from case-control study design marked with * and presented, where available over the total number of cases, while for cohort study design the number of cases is given for the exposed cohort.

Study Design Setting Comparator Erythromycin n/N Effect estimate (95%CI)
Andersen 2013 cohort Denmark, 1997-2007 unexposed n/a 1.03 (0.94-1.13)
Muanda 2017a case-control Quebec, 1998-2009 penicillin 15/697 0.82 (0.56-1.19)

Accompanying forest plots can be found in the full PDF of this public assessment report.

Table 6. Risk of bias assessment for studies on erythromycin and miscarriage. Bias domains adapted from Sterne and others, 2016.

Study D1 D2 D3 D4 D5 D6 D7 Overall
Andersen 2013 serious moderate moderate low moderate low moderate serious
Muanda 2017a low low low low low low moderate moderate

Key: D1 bias due to confounding; D2 bias due to selection of participants; D3 bias in classification of interventions; D4 bias due to deviations from intended interventions; D5 bias due to missing data; D6 bias in measurement of outcomes; D7 bias in selection of the reported result.

Clarithromycin

For clarithromycin, 4 studies investigated the effect of clarithromycin exposure in the first trimester of over 1,400 pregnancies on one or more outcomes, jointly covering a period between 1990 and 2016 in 3 countries. 3 studies evaluated more than one outcome of interest.

Major congenital malformations

No association was detected between first-trimester exposure to clarithromycin and major congenital malformations in the 3 studies in 3 different countries reporting on this outcome.

The studies were assessed to be of low-quality evidence by the overall serious risk of bias. The study by Andersen and others (2013) lacked control for confounding, and the studies by Muanda and others (2017b) and Fan and others (2020) suffered from selection bias (Table 8).

Therefore, although there was a trend of an absence of association, it was concluded that these 3 studies did not provide robust evidence for the absence of a small risk of major congenital malformations following exposure to clarithromycin.

Cardiovascular malformations

A single study reported on cardiovascular malformations following first trimester exposure to clarithromycin, concluding an absence of association (Muanda and others, 2017b) (Table 7). However, this study was judged to be at serious risk of bias, due to selection bias, as, like many of the reviewed studies, only live births were included. This may bias effect estimates towards the null.

Given the lack of publications on the effect of clarithromycin on cardiovascular outcome in pregnancy, and the presence of selection bias in the studies that qualified for this review, it was not possible to conclude or refute the absence of an association.

Miscarriage

Both studies evaluating the effect of clarithromycin exposure during pregnancy on miscarriage reported an increased risk. These were 1.6-fold compared to unexposed pregnancies (Andersen and others, 2013) and 2.73 times compared to penicillin (Muanda and others, 2017a).

Table 8 shows that the Andersen study was judged to be at serious risk of bias mainly due to a lack of control for confounding, which could result in a false positive association. The Muanda (2017a) study was assessed as being at a moderate risk of bias because many comparisons were made, but not all were fully presented (bias in selection of the reported result).

The available evidence indicates an increased risk of miscarriage following the prescription of clarithromycin. However, the observed risk is associated with a degree of uncertainty owing to the small number of studies, while the poor quality of the studies prevents concluding with certainty the strength of the reported association between clarithromycin and miscarriage.

Table 7. Effect estimates for studies on clarithromycin and major congenital malformations (MCM), miscarriage and cardiovascular malformations (CVM) outcomes. Note: number of exposed cases from case-control study design marked with * and presented, where available over the total number of cases, while for cohort study design the number of cases is given for the exposed cohort.

Study Outcome Design Setting Comparator Clarithromycin n/N Effect estimate (95%CI)
Fan, 2020 MCM cohort UK, 1990-2016 penicillin 6/162 1.83(0.83-4.04)
Andersen, 2013 MCM cohort Denmark, 1997-2007 unexposed 9/253 1.01 (0.52-1.97)
Muanda, 2017b MCM cohort Quebec, 1998-2009 penicillin 77/658 1.15 (0.90-1.48)
Andersen, 2013 Miscarriage cohort Denmark, 1997-2007 unexposed 40/401 1.66 (1.22-2.26)
Muanda, 2017a Miscarriage case-control Quebec, 1998-2009 penicillin 111/8702 2.73 (2.16-3.14)
Muanda, 2017b CVM cohort Quebec, 1998-2009 penicillin 12/658 0.82 (0.46-1.48)

Accompanying forest plots can be found in the full PDF of this public assessment report.

Table 8. Risk of bias assessment for studies on clarithromycin and major congenital malformations (MCM), miscarriage and cardiovascular (CVM) outcomes. Bias domains adapted from Sterne and others, 2016.

Study Outcome D1 D2 D3 D4 D5 D6 D7 Overall
Fan, 2020 MCM low serious low low - moderate low serious
Andersen, 2013 MCM, Miscarriage serious moderate moderate low moderate low moderate serious
Muanda, 2017b Miscarriage low low low low low low moderate moderate
Muanda, 2017a MCM, CVM low serious moderate low low moderate low serious

Key: D1 bias due to confounding; D2 bias due to selection of participants; D3 bias in classification of interventions; D4 bias due to deviations from intended interventions; D5 bias due to missing data; D6 bias in measurement of outcomes; D7 bias in selection of the reported result. ‘-‘ indicates not where bias was not assessable

Azithromycin

Of the studies considered, 4 studies investigated the effect of azithromycin on one or more outcomes, based on exposure in the first trimester of over 7,300 pregnancies, jointly covering a period between 1985 and 2015 in 3 countries. 3 studies evaluated more than one outcome of interest. 3 studies were judged to be at serious risk of bias overall, and one at moderate risk. Major congenital malformations

3 studies investigated the effect of first-trimester azithromycin on major congenital malformations (table 9). 2 studies were not suggestive of an association between azithromycin and major congenital malformations and the third, a large Canadian cohort study, reported a borderline association between azithromycin and major congenital malformations compared to penicillin prescription (OR 1.25, 95% CI 1.01 to 1.53). All 3 studies were judged overall to be at serious risk of bias, due to selection bias related to inclusion of outcomes from live births only. As discussed, this may result in regression of effect to the null.

Although there was a trend of an absence of association, it was concluded that these 3 studies did not provide robust evidence for the absence of a small risk of major congenital malformations following exposure to azithromycin.

Cardiovascular malformations

None of the 3 studies investigating the effect of exposure to azithromycin during the first trimester on cardiovascular malformations reported an association. However, as discussed above, all 3 studies were judged to be at serious risk of bias in the selection of participants domain. Therefore, the risk estimates could be biased towards the null.

While the evidence reviewed does not suggest a trend for an increased risk of cardiovascular malformations with maternal exposure to azithromycin, due to the serious risks of bias affecting the studies, the evidence cannot be considered robust enough to exclude the absence of a risk.

Miscarriage

The only study that investigated the effect of azithromycin exposure in early pregnancy on miscarriage (Muanda and others, 2017a) found a statistically significant association versus penicillin (aOR 1.91, 95% CI 1.53 to 2.39) (Table 9). This study was judged to be at moderate risk of bias due to a concern over selective reporting of results, as many comparisons were made, but not all were presented in the article.

The available evidence indicates an increased risk of miscarriage following the prescription of azithromycin. However, the observed risk is based on one study considered to be at moderate risk of bias, which prevents concluding with certainty the strength of the reported association between azithromycin and miscarriage.

Table 9. Effect estimates for studies on azithromycin and major congenital malformations (MCM), cardiovascular malformations (CVM) and miscarriage. Note: number of exposed cases from case-control study design marked with * and presented, where available over the total number of cases, while for cohort study design the number of cases is given for the exposed cohort

Study Outcome Design Setting Comparator Clarithromycin n/N Effect estimate (95%CI)
Damkier, 2019 MCM cohort Denmark, 2000-2015 penicillin 182/5037 1.09 (0.93-1.27)
Muanda, 2017b MCM cohort Quebec, 1998-2009 penicillin 118/883 1.25 (1.01-1.53)
Cooper, 2009 MCM cohort US, Tennessee, 1985-2000 unexposed 23/559 1.37 (0.85-2.22)
Muanda, 2017a Miscarriage case-control Quebec, 1998-2009 penicillin 110/na 1.91 (1.53-2.39)
Damkier, 2019 CVM cohort Denmark, 2000-2015 penicillin 57/5,037 1.14 (0.86-1.51)
Muanda, 2017b CVM cohort Quebec, 1998-2009 penicillin 19/883 0.92 (0.57-1.49)
Cooper, 2009 CVM cohort US, Tennessee, 1985-2000 unexposed 7/559 1.13 (0.5-2.55)

Accompanying forest plots can be found in the full PDF of this public assessment report.

Table 10. Risk of bias assessment for studies on azithromycin and Major Congenital Malformations (MCM), cardiovascular malformations (CVM) and miscarriage. Bias domains adapted from Sterne and others, 2016.

Study Outcome D1 D2 D3 D4 D5 D6 D7 Overall
Damkier, 2019 MCM moderate serious moderate low low moderate moderate serious
Muanda, 2017b MCM low serious moderate low low moderate low serious
Cooper, 2009 MCM serious serious low low moderate moderate moderate serious
Muanda, 2017a Miscarriage low low low low low low moderate moderate
Damkier, 2019 CVM moderate serious moderate low low moderate moderate serious
Muanda, 2017b CVM low serious moderate low low moderate low serious
Cooper, 2009 CVM serious serious low low moderate moderate moderate serious

Key: D1 bias due to confounding; D2 bias due to selection of participants; D3 bias in classification of interventions; D4 bias due to deviations from intended interventions; D5 bias due to missing data; D6 bias in measurement of outcomes; D7 bias in selection of the reported result.

Discussion on use of the ROBINS-I framework to evaluate bias

The characteristics of the ‘target trial’ against which the studies evaluated were described by Sterne and others, 2016 as:

… a large trial that achieved concealment of randomised allocation; maintained blinding patients, health care professionals and outcome assessors to the intervention received throughout follow up; ascertained outcomes in all randomised participants; and reported intervention effects for all measured outcomes.

Thus, it became apparent that certain bias domains (confounding (D1), selection bias (D2) and presentation of findings (D7)) were most challenging in assigning an overall risk of bias for each study. The reviewers found the most inter-study inconsistency within these domains.

The ROBINS-I framework that was used for the evaluation of the presence of bias had some limitations. There was no provision made for the assessment of multiplicity, which was present in nearly all reviewed studies reporting on multiple outcomes. Multiplicity is a concern when multiple outcomes are investigated, the observed association may be a result of chance alone and must be adjusted for in the analysis.

Furthermore, with the timing of exposure and exposure ascertainment being a concern for pregnancy medication use, the ROBINS-I tool evaluated these characteristics of the study under one question (specifically 3.1: risk of bias in classification of interventions – where the intervention groups definition is assessed). This did not provide an opportunity to differentiate between the studies with more pronounced issues of one or the other type, which were judged simultaneously and therefore might not be systematically evaluated under ROBINS-I framework.

It was decided that the 2 MHRA reviewers were to take this lack of detail into consideration in the overall judgement of the studies; however, this might not have been carried out in a systematic manner and introduced subjectivity.

Evaluation of confounding might have also suffered from subjectivity. Although confounding was considered under the 2 separate sections of the ROBINS-I protocol, the multitude of possible underlying factors presented a challenge for consistent evaluation.

A range of potential confounders was reported in various combinations between the studies, whereas some studies focused on indication for prescription and others on pregnancy characteristics. Therefore, it was decided that studies with the indication for prescription and penicillin used as a comparator made an adequate provision for confounding evaluation if some additional pregnancy risk factors were also considered (including co-morbidity, BMI, age, smoking or alcohol consumption).

This approach has potentially lowered the requirement for the studies’ quality control regarding confounding. Given the overall lack of consideration of the whole range of factors available for review in the studies, this approach was selected to systematise the review, albeit some of important confounders might have been overlooked.

5. Discussion

In an attempt to provide clinically helpful information on the safety of macrolides, a systematic review of epidemiological data was conducted for each of the 3 macrolides (erythromycin, clarithromycin and azithromycin).

For each of the macrolides, 3 adverse outcomes were considered based on conflicting findings reported from different studies (major congenital malformations, cardiovascular malformations, and miscarriage).

The exposure period of interest was restricted to the first trimester of pregnancy when organogenesis occurs and exposure to potential teratogens may have adverse effects, resulting in one of the outcomes of interest.

Initially this review focused on studies comparing macrolides to penicillins to minimise confounding by infection. However, due to a small number of studies, these criteria were expanded to include unexposed studies as comparators.

Although at first it appeared that there were many relevant studies (n=38), further appraisal according to the review objectives excluded most studies (n=26). Of the 12 remaining studies, 11 reported data on erythromycin, and 4 reported on azithromycin and clarithromycin (table 11).

The quality of studies was assessed using the ROBINS-I tool for non-randomised studies of interventions (Sterne and others, 2016).

Most studies were assessed to have a serious risk of bias, mainly due to confounding or bias in selection of participants. This excludes the Canadian case-control study that evaluated the risk of miscarriage with macrolides (Muanda and others, 2017a), and the Norwegian cohort study which evaluated major malformations and cardiovascular malformations (Romoren and others, 2012).

Table 11. Summary of reviewed studies for the outcomes of major congenital malformations (MCM), cardiovascular malformations (CVM) and miscarriage.

Study Setting Outcome Overall risk of bias Number of first trimester exposures from published studies: erythromycin Number of first trimester exposures from published studies: clarithromycin Number of first trimester exposures from published studies: azithromycin
Fan (2020) cohort UK 1990-2016 MCM, CVM Serious 1935 162 73      
Damkier (2019) cohort Denmark 2000-2015 MCM, CVM Serious 5563 0 5037      
Muanda (2017b) cohort Canada, Quebec 1998-2009 MCM, CVM Serious 697 658 883      
Muanda ( 2017a)* Case-control Canada, Quebec 1998-2009 Miscarriage Moderate 15 111 110      
Källén (2005 and 2014) cohort Sweden 1996-2011 CVM Serious 2531 0 0      
Lin (2013) case-control Canada 1994-2008 CVM Serious 4132 0 0      
Anderson (2013) cohort Denmark 1997-2007 MCM, Miscarriage Serious 6492 253 0      
Romoren (2012) cohort Norway 2004-2007 MCM, CVM Moderate 1786 229 643      
Cooper (2009) cohort US, Tennessee 1985-2000 MCM, CVM Serious 903 0 559      
Crider (2009)* case-control US, 1997-2003 CVM Serious 81 0 0      
Czeizel (1999) case-control Hungary, 1980-1996 MCM Serious 34 0 0      
Total first trimester exposures Time period: 1985 - 2016     24169 (>24,000) 1413 (>1,400) 7305 (>7,300)      

The ‘*’ refers to the number of exposed cases - actual exposure will be higher but figure unknown

Strength of evidence

Erythromycin

Of 11 studies reviewed, consisting of over 24,000 first-trimester exposures, only 2 studies reported an increased risk of either major congenital malformations or cardiovascular defects (Fan and others (2019); Källén and others (2005, 2014)). The rest of the studies reported no association between prescription of erythromycin and any of the 3 studied outcomes.

The strength of association and the validity of the statistical association can provide strong evidence of causal relationships between the exposure and outcome. The magnitude of the association expressed as a large risk ratio combined with a high probability of the observed effect (small p-value) is a benchmark for judgement on causality.

There was an increase in the risk of 1.5 (major congenital malformations) and 1.8 times (cardiovascular malformations) compared to the reference category in studies by Fan and Källén respectively (Fan and others, 2020; Källén and others, 2005 and 2014). However, the validity of both studies was uncertain due to the presence of bias in the study design. In addition, the rest of the studies that reported no association were judged to be at risk of bias.

Despite Fan‘s attempts to account for various types of bias, selection bias was still considered to be a problem. It can be hypothesised that when severe malformation is developing in a fetus, it might present a risk to the pregnancy. Thus, the most severe outcomes could result in pregnancy termination, limiting the number of malformations in live-born children. A failure to account for selection bias will, therefore, bias the results toward no effect.

In the study by Fan where the selection bias was the main caveat to its quality, the detected increase in risk could be therefore concerning as it an unlikely result of live-birth selection bias. However, it is also likely that confounding by severity of underlying infection, and other unmeasured confounding factors are likely to be influencing the finding of an increased risk of major congenital malformations for erythromycin in the study by Fan and others.

Combined with the less robust epidemiological evidence contributed by the other studies and the lack of association reported in them, it is not possible to conclude on a presence of risk associated with erythromycin use in the first trimester of pregnancy.

Clarithromycin

Data on the safety of clarithromycin in early pregnancy is the most limited of the 3 macrolides, with around 1,400 first-trimester exposures included in the four studies reviewed. None of the 3 studies evaluating a risk of major congenital malformations, or the study evaluating cardiovascular malformations reported an association.

An association between clarithromycin prescription and miscarriage was reported at a statistically significant level from 2 studies with an increase of 1.6 and 2.7 times compared to the reference category (Andersen and others, 2013; Muanda and others, 2017a). While the adequate size of the studies added confidence in the reported results, the certainty in the reported association was undermined by the uncertainty around the validity of the studies, judged as being at moderate (Muanda and others, 2017a) and serious (Andersen and others, 2013) risk of bias.

Although there was a trend for an absence of association between clarithromycin exposure in early pregnancy and either major malformations or cardiovascular malformations, based on the small number of studies at a serious risk of bias, it is not possible to conclude on the absence of a risk.

The evidence regarding clarithromycin and miscarriage indicates an increased risk, although due to the small number of studies (n=2) this is associated with a degree of uncertainty. Moreover, the poor quality of the studies prevents a conclusion on the strength of the association.

Azithromycin

There is a moderate amount of epidemiological evidence on the risk of adverse pregnancy outcomes associated with maternal use of azithromycin (more than 7,300 first-trimester exposures).

Regarding major congenital malformations, only 1 of the 3 studies evaluated presented a small increased risk of borderline significance (OR 1.25, 95% CI 1.01 to 1.53; Muanda and others, 2017b). However, this study was judged to be at serious risk of bias, which raises uncertainty over the validity of the findings.

There was no evidence of an increased risk of cardiovascular defects with azithromycin exposure during pregnancy in the 3 studies evaluated. However, all 3 studies were judged as being at serious risk of bias.

There was limited evidence to support an association between azithromycin and miscarriage, with the only study meeting the inclusion criteria for review presenting an almost 2-fold increased risk, compared to exposure to penicillin (OR 1.91, 95% CI 1.53 to 2.39; Muanda and others, 2017a). However, as discussed, there were many comparisons made in this study, not all of which were presented in the article.

In addition, concern was raised over the extent to which confounding was controlled for and overall the study was judged to be at moderate risk of bias and provides insufficient evidence to confirm that the use of azithromycin in early pregnancy may cause an increased risk of miscarriage.

Biological plausibility of macrolide-induced fetal harm

Major congenital malformations

The analysis focused on studies evaluating the risk of major congenital malformations, cardiac malformations, and miscarriage.

There is no established mechanism by which macrolides could induce major birth defects. The product information for erythromycin states that there are no teratogenicity data. No teratogenic effects were observed in animal studies with azithromycin. Studies with clarithromycin (at high doses) reported variable results with some reporting an increase in cardiovascular malformations and cleft palate in rats and mice, and embryonic loss in monkeys, but only at doses toxic to the mother animals (included in the clarithromycin product information.

As major congenital malformations comprise a wide variety of organ systems that develop at different times during gestation and that are susceptible to disruption via specific mechanisms, it is difficult to comment on the biological plausibility of macrolide-induced birth defects in general.

Additionally, the causes of congenital malformations can be complex and multifactorial. Non-genetic risk factors include alcohol use, folic acid intake, obesity, uncontrolled maternal diabetes, and some maternal infections. Moreover, the studies reviewed do not suggest a pattern in terms of the types of defects observed in infants exposed to macrolides in early pregnancy.

Cardiac defects

Cardiovascular defects are among the most common congenital anomalies. The NHS website states that congenital heart disease (CHD) affects up to 8 of every 1,000 babies born in the UK.

Factors suggested to be associated with an increased risk of CHD include maternal smoking or alcohol consumption (both of which are difficult to control for in observational studies) and poorly controlled maternal diabetes.

Septal defects are some of the most common cardiac defects and range in terms of severity. Of note, ventricular septal defects were the most frequently reported cardiac defect in the Fan 2020 study, followed by patent ductus arteriosus.

However, publications reporting increased risks of cardiovascular malformations (Fan and others 2020; Källén and others 2005, 2014) speculate over the possibility that macrolides, which are known to influence cardiac repolarisation, could induce fetal arrhythmia, which may in turn lead to short-term fetal hypoxia.

This hypothesis is based on publications by Danielson and others (2007) and Nilsson (2014). Danielson and others discuss that drugs which block the rapid delayed rectifier (IKr) channel may exert teratogenicity through cardiac arrhythmia and the development of reactive oxygen species (ROS).

Nilsson and colleagues (2014) discuss that the proposed teratogenic mechanism for macrolides is blockade of the human ether-a-go-go-related (hERG)/IKr current in the embryonic heart causing bradycardia and arrhythmia, resulting in altered cardiac blood flow or embryonic hypoxia but only at levels above those expected from normal use of macrolides during pregnancy.

Källén (2014) discusses that in animal studies, several drugs known to prolong QT interval have been shown to be teratogenic because of embryonic cardiac arrhythmia leading to fetal hypoxia and subsequently cardiac and vessel damage (such as clomipramine, lithium, paroxetine).

However, the duration of fetal exposure to erythromycin, which is typically prescribed for a relatively short period of time (5 to 7 days), is likely to be considerably less than for many other hERG-blocking agents, which are generally taken for longer periods of time.

It is also important to consider the timing of macrolide exposure in relation to the critical period of organogenesis (between 3 and 8 weeks).

Given that macrolides are generally prescribed for short periods of time (for example, up to 5 or 10 days depending on the macrolide and infection being treated) exposure to a macrolide during the first 2 weeks of pregnancy might seem unlikely to cause structural defects in the developing fetus. This may be especially true to erythromycin, which has a short half-life of 1.5 to 2 hours. Therefore, any effect of erythromycin may be difficult to detect.

Table 12 shows that half the studies that evaluated the risk of birth defects with first-trimester exposure classified infants as exposed if a macrolide prescription was issued sometime between the last menstrual period (week 0) and the end of the first trimester, which could be a period of 12 to 14 weeks.

Most of the risk estimates from these studies were non-significant except for a borderline association for azithromycin and major congenital malformations reported by Muanda and others ((2017b): OR 1.25, 95% CI 1.01 to 1.53).

Lin and others (2013) and Romoren and others (2012) considered an exposure period of interest from conception (week 2). However, these studies also did not find any associations with the outcomes of interest.

3 studies (Fan and others (2020); Czeizel and others (1999) and Romoren and others (2013)) excluded infants exposed during the first 4 weeks of gestation and in the 2 Swedish cohort studies that report an association between erythromycin and cardiovascular malformations, it is not clear during what period pregnancies were considered to be exposed (Källén and others, 2005 and 2014).

Studies by Fan and Källén discuss a potential ‘dilution’ of any effect in studies that included cases exposed outside the critical period of organogenesis.

Fan and others (2020) state that 36% of first-trimester macrolide prescriptions were issued before 4 gestational weeks and so were excluded from the analyses.

It is noted that while Romoren and others (2013) did not find a statistically significant association between first trimester erythromycin use (2 to 13 weeks) and cardiac malformations (aOR 1.2, 95% CI 0.8 to 1.8).

When the exposure period was restricted to the most critical period in terms of heart formation (4 to 8 weeks), the adjusted risk estimate increased, although remained non-significant (aOR 1.6, 0.9 to 3.0).

While these data do not provide strong evidence to explain the reason for the conflicting findings between some of the studies, this aspect of timing of exposure should be a consideration in any future studies.

Table 12. Distribution of exposure periods considered in the reviewed erythromycin studies with risk estimates for outcomes of major congenital malformations (MCM), miscarriage and cardiovascular malformations (CVM)

Exposure period (weeks) Study Comparator MCM CVM Miscarriage
4 to 13 weeks Fan (2020) penicillin 1.5* (1.13-1.99) 1.48 (0.92-2.37) -        
4 to 8 weeks (sensitivity analysis) Romoren (2012) unexposed - 1.62 (0.86-3.02) -        
4 to 8 weeks Czeizel (1999) unexposed 0.8 (0.5-1.4) - -        
2 to 14 weeks Lin (2013) unexposed - 1.3 (0.6-2.6) -        
2 to13 weeks Romoren (2012) unexposed 1.02 (0.77-1.35) 1.16 (0.75-1.78) -        
Not known to 13 weeks* Källén (2014) unexposed 1.18 (0.96-1.3) 1.7* (1.26-2.29) -        
0 to 14 weeks Damkier (2019) penicillin 0.94 (0.8-1.11) 0.94 (0.69-1.28) -        
0 to 13 weeks Muanda (2017b) penicillin 1.02 (0.78-1.34) 1.09 (0.64-1.86) -        
0 to 16 weeks Cooper (2009) unexposed 0.86 (0.62-1.18) 0.93 (0.45-1.91) -        
minus 2 to 12 weeks Crider (2009) unexposed - 1.0 (0.7-1.3) -        
0 to 13 weeks Andersen (2013) unexposed - - 1.03 (0.94-1.13)        
0 to 20 weeks Muanda (2017a) penicillin - - 0.82 (0.56-1.19)        

*Källén and others (2005 & 2014) do not state the start of first trimester exposure, article states that women were asked about medication taken since the start of pregnancy. ‘-‘ indicates where risk estimates were not measured

Miscarriage

Miscarriage is relatively common during the first trimester of pregnancy and is estimated by the NHS to affect up to 1 in 8 pregnancies in the UK.

Miscarriage may be associated by a range of factors including chromosomal defects, advanced maternal age, obesity, smoking, and alcohol use. Miscarriage in the second trimester may be linked to underlying health conditions such as diabetes, severe hypertension or maternal infections including some sexually transmitted infections for which macrolides are indicated.

Of the studies reviewed, 2 studies reported an increased risk of miscarriage with clarithromycin use (Andersen and others (2013): OR 1.66, 95% CI 1.22 to 2.26 and Muanda and others, (2017a): aOR 2.73, 2.16 to 3.44). Muanda and others (2017a) also reported an increased risk of miscarriage for azithromycin (adjusted OR 1.91, 1.53 to 2.39).

None of the studies discussed possible biological mechanisms for macrolide-induced miscarriage.

However, Andersen and others discuss that placental transfer of clarithromycin has been shown to be twice that of erythromycin, referencing the work of Heikkinen and colleagues (2000) who stated that placental transfer rates of erythromycin and azithromycin were reported to be 3.0% and 2.6%. Witt and colleagues found the mean rate of transfer for clarithromycin to be 6.1% (Witt and others, 2003).

Andersen and others propose this as a possible explanation for the apparent increased risk of miscarriage for clarithromycin but not erythromycin. However, this would not explain the increased risk of miscarriage with azithromycin presented by Muanda and colleagues (2017a).

Magnitude of absolute effects

Since the reviewed studies were performed in several different countries where background rates of the outcomes differ, it is difficult to translate relative risks into absolute and excess risks.

In addition, several studies, including Muanda and others (2017a) that reported a statistically significant increased risk of miscarriage with exposure to clarithromycin and azithromycin were case-control studies and did not provide total numbers of exposed women. Moreover, most studies did not report statistically significant risk estimates.

The only UK data was from the recent cohort study by Fan and others (2020), which was the only study to report a statistically significant increased risk of major congenital malformations with first-trimester erythromycin exposure.

Using data provided from the reviewed studies, rates per 1000 first-trimester exposures to each macrolide were compared to rates per 1000 exposed to comparator or unexposed (see Annex 3).

Based on data from Fan and others (2020), the rate of major malformations following first-trimester use of erythromycin is 27.39 per 1000 exposed and 17.65 per 1000 for penicillin-exposed (rate difference 9.74).

To put this into context, the prevalence of congenital anomalies reported in the National Congenital Anomaly and Rare Disease Registration Service (NCARDRS) statistics from 2018 is stated as 213.3 per 10,000 (or 21.3 per 1000).

Therefore, assuming the association between erythromycin prescription in the first trimester and major congenital malformations reported by Fan and others (2020) is true, the attributable risk would be relatively small.

Implications for national treatment guidelines on the use of macrolides in pregnancy

As discussed at the start of this report, erythromycin is recommended for treating many common infections such as respiratory tract infections, as an alternative for pregnant patients who are allergic to penicillin.

In the UK, the British Association for Sexual Health and HIV (BASHH) recommend azithromycin as a first-line option for treatment of chlamydia in pregnant women, and as an option for the treatment for gonorrhoea if no adequate alternatives are available. Both infections are associated with adverse pregnancy or fetal outcomes if left untreated.

The recently updated UKTIS monograph on macrolides states that

although the majority of the available data do not provide evidence that macrolide use in pregnancy increases the risk of adverse pregnancy outcome, a limited number of studies have described small increased risks of malformation and miscarriage. Macrolide use in pregnancy should therefore be reserved for compelling indications where there are no suitable alternatives with adequate pregnancy safety data, and should only be used if the benefit of treatment is expected to outweigh any small increased risks which may exist.

The findings of the current review of available evidence on macrolide use during pregnancy and the risk of adverse fetal outcomes would appear to support this position.

Considering the uncertainty over the validity of epidemiological evidence on the risk of major congenital malformations, cardiovascular malformations and miscarriage, the data reviewed appear to be consistent with current clinical guidelines on the use of the respective macrolides during pregnancy.

Options for further review

Previously, it was intended to use data from recent studies (Fan and others, 2020; Damkier and others, 2019) to conduct a further updated meta-analysis of the data on macrolide safety in pregnancy.

However, following review of these studies together with the previous studies included in the meta-analyses conducted by Fan and others (2019) and Mallah and others (2020) it was concluded that the evidence on the effects of macrolides use in pregnancy is heterogeneous and of low quality.

Therefore, conducting another meta-analysis by macrolide, using studies with a high degree of bias, would contradict the requirement for good-quality data from the primary studies.

6. Conclusions

Of the 3 macrolides included in this review, the most experience of use in pregnancy is seen for erythromycin (>24,000 first trimester exposures) and only 2 of the 11 studies suggested an increased risk of major congenital or cardiovascular malformations. The number of first trimester exposures to azithromycin and clarithromycin are more moderate (>7,300 and >1,400, respectively)

Overall, the quality of observational data on the safety of maternal use of erythromycin, clarithromycin and azithromycin during early pregnancy is low. Furthermore, a biological mechanism for teratogenic effects has not been established. Therefore, it is considered that the available evidence is insufficient to confirm the presence of small increased risks of major congenital malformations or cardiovascular malformations following first-trimester exposure to erythromycin, or an increased risk of miscarriage following exposure to clarithromycin or azithromycin in early pregnancy.

The evidence is also insufficient to confirm the absence of small increased risks of major congenital malformations or cardiovascular malformations following first trimester exposure to azithromycin or clarithromycin, or miscarriage following exposure to erythromycin.

Previous review of SmPC warnings about use in pregnancy for the three macrolides revealed inconsistency in the level of detail and presence of statements about considerations of the benefits and risks.

To ensure consistency across macrolide product information, the experience from observational studies evaluating the safety of use in early pregnancy will be reflected along with an appropriate statement reflecting that the product should only be used during pregnancy if clinically needed and the benefit of treatment is expected to outweigh any possible risk.

Due to the low quality of the available studies, it is not considered advisable to conduct an updated meta-analysis. This would be unlikely to produce reliable estimates of whether macrolide use in early pregnancy is associated with fetal harm.

There remains a need for high-quality research into the effect of erythromycin, clarithromycin or azithromycin prescription in pregnancy.

Certain infections in pregnancy can cause serious harm to both to the mother and baby if not treated. In such cases, pregnant women should receive treatment with an appropriate antibiotic. Decisions by the prescriber of which antibiotic to use should be based on the benefits and risk to mother and baby. If a prescriber views that the potential benefits of treatment will outweigh the risks and that no suitable and safe alternative is available, for example in true penicillin allergy, a macrolide can be used during pregnancy.

7. References

Andersen JT and others. Clarithromycin in early pregnancy and the risk of miscarriage and malformation: a register based nationwide cohort study PLoS One 2013: volume 8, e53327

Bahat Dinur A and others. Fetal safety of macrolides. Antimicrobial Agents and Chemotherapy 2013: volume 57, pages 3307-11

Bar-Oz B and others. Pregnancy outcome after gestational exposure to the new macrolides: a prospective multi-center observational study. European Journal of Obstetrics & Gynaecology and Reproductive Biology 2008: volume 141, pages 31–4

Bar-Oz B and others. The outcomes of pregnancy in women exposed to the new macrolides in the first trimester: a prospective, multicentre, observational study Drug Safety 2012: volume 35, pages 589–98

Berard A and others. Use of macrolides during pregnancy and the risk of birth defects: a population-based study. Pharmacoepidemiology and Drug Safety 2015: volume 24, pages 1241-8

Cooper WO and others. Antibiotics potentially used in response to bioterrorism and the risk of major congenital malformations. Paediatric and Perinatal Epidemiology. 2009: volume 23, pages 18-28

Czeizel AE and others. A population-based case-control teratologic study of oral erythromycin treatment during pregnancy. Reproductive Toxicology 1999: volume 13, pages 531-6

Czeizel AE. Specified critical period of different congenital abnormalities: a new approach for human teratological studies. Congenital Anomalies 2008: volume 48, pages 103-9

Danielsson BR and others. Embryonic cardiac arrhythmia and generation of reactive oxygen species: common teratogenic mechanism for IKr blocking drugs. Reproductive Toxicology 2007: volume 24, pages 42-56

Einarson A and others. A prospective controlled multicentre study of clarithromycin in pregnancy. American Journal of Perinatology 1998: volume 15, pages 523–5

Fan H and others. Associations between use of macrolide antibiotics during pregnancy and adverse chid outcomes: A systematic review and meta-analysis. PLoS One 2019: volume 14, e0212212

Fan H and others. Associations between macrolide antibiotics prescribing during pregnancy and adverse child outcomes in the UK: population based cohort study. BMJ 2020: volume 368, m331

Heikkinen T and others. The transplacental transfer of the macrolide antibiotics erythromycin, roxithromycin and azithromycin. An International Journal of Obstetrics & Gynaecology 2000: volume 107, pages 770–5

Higgins JPT and others. Cochrane Handbook for Systematic Reviews of Interventions version 6.1 (updated September 2020). Cochrane, 2020

Källén BA and others. Maternal drug use in early pregnancy and infant cardiovascular defect. Reproductive Toxicology 2003: volume 17, pages 255-61

Källén BA and others. Is erythromycin therapy teratogenic in humans? Reproductive Toxicology 2005: volume 20, pages 209-14

Källén BA and others. Fetal safety of erythromycin. An update of Swedish data. European journal of clinical pharmacology 2014: volume 70, pages 355-60

Kenyon S and others. Childhood outcomes after prescription of antibiotics to pregnant women with spontaneous pre-term labour: 7-year follow up of the ORACLE II trial. Lancet 2008: volume 372, pages 1319-27

Lin KJ and others. Safety of macrolides during pregnancy. American Journal of Obstetrics and Gynecology 2013: volume 221, pages 1-8

Mallah N and others. Prenatal exposure to macrolides and risk of congenital malformations: a meta-analysis. Drug Safety, 2020: volume 43, pages 211–221

Mahon and others. Maternal and infant use of erythromycin and other macrolide antibiotics as risk factors for infantile hypertrophic pyloric stenosis. The Journal of Paediatrics 2001: volume 139, pages 380-4

Meeraus W and others. Association between Antibiotic Prescribing in Pregnancy and Cerebral Palsy or Epilepsy in Children Born at Term: A Cohort Study Using The Health Improvement Network PLoS One. 2015: volume 10, e0122034

Muanda FT and others. Use of antibiotics during pregnancy and risk of spontaneous abortion. Canadian Medical Association Journal 2017a: volume 1, pages 625-33.

Muanda F. T and others. Use of antibiotics during pregnancy and the risk of major congenital malformations: a population based cohort study. British Journal of Clinical Pharmacology 2017b: volume 83, pages 2557-2571

PHE. NCARDRS congenital anomaly statistics 2018. PHE: August 2020. Accessed 01/11/2020

Nilsson MF and others. Effects of macrolide antibiotics on rat embryonic heart function in vitro. Birth Defects Research Part B: Developmental and Reproductive Toxicology 2014: volume 101, pages 189-98

Nilsson MF and others. Improved methodology for identifying the teratogenic potential in early drug development of hERG channel blocking drugs Reproductive Toxicology 2010: volume 29, pages 156-63

Romoren M and others. Pregnancy outcome after gestational exposure to erythromycin - a population-based register study from Norway. British Journal of Clinical Pharmacology 2012: volume 74, pages 1053-62

Sarkar M and others. Pregnancy outcome following gestational exposure to azithromycin. BMC Pregnancy and Childbirth 2006: 6, page 18

Shrier I and others ROBINS-I: a tool for assessing risk of bias in non-randomized studies of interventions. BMJ 2016: volume 355, i4919

Sterne JAC and others. Risk Of Bias In Non-randomized Studies of Interventions (ROBINS-I): detailed guidance, updated 12 October 2016. Available from http://www.riskofbias.info accessed 1 June 2020

Sterne JAC and others. ROBINS-I: a tool for assessing risk of bias in non-randomized studies of interventions BMJ 2016: volume 355, i4919

Witt A and others. (2003) Placental passage of clarithromycin surpasses other macrolide antibiotics. American Journal of Obstetetrics and Gynecology 2003: 188, pages 816–819

8. Glossary of Terms

Clinical data or clinical studies

Data on the effects of medicines that come from studies of people taking the medicines. This includes data from clinical trials and epidemiological studies.

Clinical trial

A research study that tests the effectiveness and safety of medicines in humans.

Cohort study

In a cohort study, a group of individuals exposed to a risk factor and a group who are unexposed to the risk factor are followed over time (often years) to determine the occurrence of disease. The incidence of disease in the exposed group is compared with the incidence of disease in the unexposed group.

Commission on Human Medicines

The Commission on Human Medicines (CHM) advises ministers on the safety, efficacy and quality of medicinal products.

Confidence interval

A statistical range of numbers with a specific probability that a particular value lies within this range. Confidence intervals (CI) are used to assess the true difference in risk between two groups, and usually accompany ratio values such as odds ratios, hazard ratios and ‘observed versus expected’ ratios. A 95% CI suggests that there is a 95% chance that the real difference between two groups is within this interval. If a 95% CI does not cross 1, the ratio is regarded as statistically significant.

Confounds / confounding / confounded

Where people who receive a medicine are also more likely to have a particular risk factor then they may be more likely to develop a medical condition because of this risk factor and not because of the medicine. This can affect the results of epidemiological studies.

Congenital

A medical condition that is acquired by the fetus during pregnancy and is present at birth.

Congenital Malformations

A physical defect present in a baby at birth that can involve many different parts of the body, including the brain, heart, lungs, liver, bones, and intestinal tract.

Defect

A fault or imperfection in the body.

Epidemiological studies

Studies which assess trends in the occurrence, distribution or control of diseases or medical conditions in defined populations.

Fetus

An unborn baby developing in the mother’s womb

Gestational age

Gestational age is the common term used during pregnancy to describe how far along the pregnancy is. It is measured in weeks, from the first day of the woman’s last menstrual cycle (period) to the current date. A normal pregnancy can range from 38 to 42 weeks.

Indication

The disease or condition, or manifestation or symptoms thereof, for which the drug is approved. As well as whether the drug is indicated for the treatment, prevention, mitigation, cure, relief, or diagnosis of that disease or condition.

In utero

The time that the fetus is in the uterus of the pregnant female.

Major congenital malformations

Physical defects present in a baby at birth that have significant medical, social or cosmetic consequences for the affected individual, and typically require medical intervention.

Meta-analysis

A meta-analysis is a statistical analysis that combines the results of multiple scientific studies.

National Institute for Health and Care Excellence

The National Institute for Health and Care Excellence (NICE) provides national guidance and advice to improve health and social care. Their role is to improve outcomes for people using the NHS and other public health social care services. They also provide clinical guidance on how to manage specific conditions in England.

Odds ratio

A measure of risk for one group compared with another group. A value greater than 1 suggests an increased risk; a value equal to 1 suggests an equal risk; and a value less than one suggests a decreased risk.

Null Hypothesis / Null

The theory or hypothesis that an observed difference is due to chance alone and not due to a systematic cause.

Prevalence

The proportion of individuals in a defined population that have a disease or other health outcomes of interest at either a specified point in time (known as point prevalence) or during a specified period of time (period prevalence).

Randomised controlled clinical trial

A study in which a number of similar people are randomly assigned to 2 (or more) groups to test a specific drug, treatment or other intervention.

Regression analysis

Regression is a statistical method that attempts to determine the strength and character of the relationship between one dependent variable and a series of other variables.

Retrospective study

A study that compares two groups of people: those with the disease or condition under study (cases) and a very similar group of people who do not have the disease or condition (controls). A retrospective study looks backwards and examines the medical and lifestyle histories of the people in each group to learn what factors may be associated with a disease or condition that is established at the start of the study.

Risk factor

A substance or activity that increases the likelihood of someone developing an illness or medical condition.

Summary of Product Characteristics (SmPC)

Detailed information that accompanies every licensed medicine, listing its composition and characteristics and conditions attached to its use, which is available at: https://www.gov.uk/guidance/find-product-information-about-medicines

Systematic review

A review of the published scientific literature that aims to find as much as possible of the research relevant to a particular research question and based on appraisal of the research summarises the main findings (qualitative or quantitative).

Teratogen/ teratogenic

A teratogen is an agent that can disrupt the anatomical development of the embryo resulting in a birth defect.

Trimester

One of the three 3-month periods into which a human 9-month pregnancy can be divided.

9. Annexes

List of Annexes:

Annex 1: Comparison table of Fan and Damkier studies

Annex 1 Table 1: A comparison of the studies by Fan and others (2020) and Mallah and others (2019)

Annex 2: Studies reviewed for inclusion in the review

Annex 2 Table 1: Studies published since Mallah and Fan reviews

Annex 2 Table 2: Studies included in Mallah et al 2019

Annex 2 Table 3: Studies common between Mallah 2019 and Fan 2019

Annex 2 Table 4: Studies only included in Fan 2019

Annex 3: Rate differences for outcomes presented in the macrolide studies

Annex 3 Table 1: Rate differences for outcomes presented in macrolide studies - Erythromycin

Annex 3 Table 2: Rate differences for outcomes presented in macrolide studies -Clarithromycin

Annex 3 Table 3: Rate differences for outcomes presented in macrolide studies -Azithromycin