Justice Data Lab statistics: January 2021
Tailored reports assessing the impact on rehabilitation programmes on reoffending behaviour analysed within the previous quarter, and summary of results to date.
Documents
Details
The report is released by the Ministry of Justice and produced in accordance with arrangements approved by the UK Statistics Authority. For further information about the Justice Data Lab, please refer to the following guidance.
Key findings this quarter
Two reports are being published this quarter: Prisoners Education Trust (4th analysis) and Resolve accredited programme.
Note: Following the publication of the original impact evaluation for the Resolve accredited programme detailed below, a supplementary appendix including additional analysis and descriptive statistics was published in Justice Data Lab statistics: October 2021.
Prisoners’ Education Trust (4th analysis)
Prisoners’ Education Trust (PET) funds prisoners to study courses via distance learning in subjects and at levels that are not generally available through mainstream education.
This analysis looked at the employment outcomes and reoffending behaviour of 9,041 adults who received grants for distance learning through Prisoners’ Education Trust (PET) schemes between 2001 and 2017. This analysis is a follow up of previous PET analyses which looked at the reoffending behaviour and employment outcomes of a smaller group of people.
The overall results show that those who received PET grants were less likely to reoffend in the year after their release from prison and more likely to be employed, compared with a group of similar offenders who did not receive these grants.
Resolve accredited programme
Resolve is a moderate intensity accredited programme designed and delivered by HMPPS. The prison-based programme is a cognitive-behavioural therapy-informed offending behaviour programme, which aims to improve outcomes related to violence in adult males who are of a medium risk of reoffending.
The analysis looked at the reoffending behaviour of 2,509 adult males who participated in the Resolve custody programme at some point between 2011 and 2018 and who were released from prison between 2011 and 2018. It covers one and two-year general and violent reoffending measures.
The headline results for one-year proven general reoffending (includes all reoffending) show that those who took part in the programme in England and Wales were less likely to reoffend, reoffended less frequently and took longer to reoffend than those how did not take part. The headline results for two-year proven general reoffending show that those who took part were less likely to reoffend, reoffended less frequently and took longer to reoffend that those how did not take part. These results were statistically significant.
For proven violent reoffences (a subset of general reoffending), the headline one and two-year results did not show that the programme had a statistically significant effect on a person’s reoffending behaviour, but this should not be taken to mean it fails to have an effect.
Further analyses were also conducted to examine the specific effects of Resolve on relevant sub-groups for proven general reoffending and violent reoffending. Among the one-year violent sub-analyses, those who only participated in Resolve were significantly less likely to reoffend violently and reoffended violently less frequently than those who did not take part. There were no statistically significant sub-analyses for the two-year violent measures.
Justice Data Lab service: available reoffending data
Organisation can submit information on the individuals they were working with between 2002 and the end of March 2018. The bulletin is produced and handled by the Ministry’s analytical professionals and production staff. Pre-release access of up to 24 hours is granted to the following persons: Ministry of Justice Secretary of State, Parliamentary Under-Secretary of State - Minister for Prisons and Probation, Permanent Secretary, Director General of Policy and Strategy Group, Director General for Prisons, Director General for Probation, Chief Financial Officer, Head of News, 2 Chief Press Officers, 11 policy and analytical advisers for reducing reoffending and rehabilitation policy, special advisors, 4 press officers, and 6 private secretaries.