Policy paper

Removing the impact of changes in inflation from the welfare cap

The methodology for removing the impact of changes in inflation from the welfare cap, as required by the Charter for Budget Responsibility.

Documents

Elasticity tables

Details

The welfare cap is one of the government’s fiscal rules. It maintains control of welfare spending. To ensure that changes in inflation-linked uprating assumptions will not increase pressure on the welfare cap or create headroom within it, the impact of changes in inflation assumptions on spending within scope of the welfare cap will be excluded from the welfare cap. The Charter for Budget Responsibility requires the Treasury to specify the definition of the changes in inflation for this purpose, which are set out in the technical note on this page and accompanying tables.

Published 2 March 2017
Last updated 18 March 2022 + show all updates
  1. Updates to note and spreadsheet

  2. Revisions to notes and spreadsheet.

  3. Updated technical note and welfare cap inflation sheet

  4. First published.