Understanding the performance of flood forecasting models

This project presents the results of the first nationwide analysis of the performance of flood forecasting models.

• From: Flood and Coastal Erosion Risk Management Research and Development Programme and Environment Agency
• Published: 24 February 2021

• Category: Managing flood incidents
• Topics: Big data, Flood forecasting, Flood risk assessment, Incident management, Modelling, Monitoring and detection
• Project status: Completed
• Project code: SC130006
• Date of completion: 16 March 2018

Documents

Understanding the performance of flood forecasting models - summary (156 KB) PDF

Deall perfformiad modelau darogan llifogydd - Welsh summary (158 KB) PDF

Understanding the performance of flood forecasting models - report (16 MB) PDF

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Details

Understanding the performance of the flood forecasting models operated in real-time by the Environment Agency, Natural Resources Wales and the national Flood Forecasting Centre is crucial to the informed use of model outputs for flood guidance across England and Wales. It’s also essential to guide future strategic investment in flood incident management.

This report presents the results of the first nationwide analysis of the performance of the various flood forecasting models operated by local centres on the National Flood Forecasting System. The analysis is based on Welsh and English geographical regions that align to the old Environment Agency region names.

This project was completed March 2018.

Published 24 February 2021