Research and analysis

Winter health watch summary: 12 December 2013

Updated 13 December 2013

This research and analysis was withdrawn on

1. Summary

  • All regions of England have been at Cold Weather Alert Level 1 ‘winter preparedness and action’ since 1 November 2013.
  • Indicators of influenza activity are at low levels suggesting minimal transmission at present, though respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) is continuing to circulate.
  • Syndromic surveillance indicates that there have been further national increases in acute respiratory infection, and bronchitis and bronchiolitis, particularly in children in the under 5 years age group, in line with seasonal expectations. This is consistent with increasing RSV activity.
  • Reports of norovirus outbreaks in hospitals have continued to increase. However, despite the number of laboratory reports of norovirus in the current week increasing, it is still lower than the 5 year seasonal average (covering winter seasons from 2007 to 2012).
  • Rotavirus activity is low, laboratory reports are at the expected level for the time of year.
  • No significant excess all-cause mortality was reported across the UK in week 49 2013 (1 December to 7 December).

2. Surveillance reports, updated weekly

PHE syndromic surveillance page

PHE national seasonal influenza report

PHE norovirus page

PHE weekly all-cause mortality surveillance

3. Further information

NHS Choices winter website

NHS England winter health check

Met Office Get Ready for Winter

Keep warm keep well: information for over 60s, low income families and people living with a disability

4. Planning resources

Cold weather plan 2013

Flu plan: Winter 2013 to 2014 by DH, NHS England and PHE