Research and analysis

Impact on school absence from COVID-19 vaccination of healthy 12 to 15 year old children

Scenario-based estimates of school absences due to COVID-19 infections in 12 to 15 year olds in England.

• From: Department of Health and Social Care
• Published: 13 September 2021

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Impact on school absence from COVID-19 vaccination of healthy 12 to 15 year old children

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This note presents a range of initial, scenario-based estimates of school absences due to COVID-19 infections in 12 to 15 year olds in England with and without vaccinating healthy 12 to 15 year olds.

The analysis provided here is scenario-based because of the significant uncertainty in the epidemiological progression of COVID-19. Some of the modelling is highly simplified but this is proportionate given so much uncertainty in the background epidemiology.

It was produced by the COVID-19 and Health Protection Analysis Team at the Department for Health and Social Care.

See also:

• the UK Chief Medical Officers’ letter on the universal vaccination of children and young people aged 12 to 15 years against COVID-19

• JCVI statement, September 2021: COVID-19 vaccination of children aged 12 to 15 years

• statement from the UK Chief Medical Officers on schools and childcare reopening

• Public Health Advice, Guidance and Expertise (PHAGE) evidence on education, schooling and health

Published 13 September 2021