The purpose of this slide pack is to inform the audience on plausible states of the world in 2020 as we emerge from the global financial crisis, using a range of scenarios, and its implications for developing countries. It is not intended to be exhaustive but, instead, to stimulate a debate on whether DFID is well-placed to achieve its policy objectives over the coming decade. It comprises 3 sections:
- The economic scenarios in 2020 – the fundamentals of the global economy and changing dynamics
- Model how the scenarios will affect growth rates and poverty reduction on PSA countries, including lessons from country workshops in India and Kenya.
- Discussion points and thought starters, from the scenarios/modelling, on DFID implications.
Winters, L. A. 2020 economic scenarios: global contexts and implications for DFID. The Futures Company, London, UK (2010) 35 pp.